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Ligue 1
Referee: F Schneider
Dijon
T T T T U
0–4
Full-time
Nimes
U T U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dijon Nimes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,3
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,3
1,5
Scored
0,5
0,3
Conceded
1,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,3
-0,8
This season — Ligue 1 · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 23%
27%
18%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
64%
45%
Both score Ø 46%
36%
55%
Average goals
2,6
3,0
Scored
1,1
1,3
Conceded
1,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

72% Possession 28%
23 Shots 11
7 Shots on target 6
7 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 7
7 Corners 3
1 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Dijon 17. · Nimes 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 12 12 0 0 +34 36
2 Lille 12 8 1 3 +11 25
3 Montpellier 11 6 4 1 +10 22
4 Lyon 12 6 3 3 +5 21
5 Marseille 11 6 1 4 +4 19
6 St Etienne 11 4 5 2 -1 17
7 Strasbourg 11 4 4 3 +4 16
8 Bordeaux 12 4 3 5 -1 15
9 Reims 11 3 5 3 -3 14
10 Nice 11 4 2 5 -6 14
11 Toulouse 11 3 4 4 -9 13
12 Angers 11 3 3 5 -2 12
13 Nantes 11 3 3 5 -3 12
14 Rennes 11 3 3 5 -4 12
15 Caen 11 2 5 4 -4 11
16 Nimes 11 2 5 4 -5 11
17 Dijon 11 3 2 6 -5 11
18 Amiens 11 3 1 7 -8 10
19 Monaco 11 1 4 6 -5 7
20 Guingamp 11 1 4 6 -12 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.