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Championship
Referee: Andy Woolmer
Ipswich
T S T T T
1–1
Full-time
Preston
U S U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ipswich Preston
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
3,0
4,3
Scored
0,8
2,5
Conceded
2,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
-1,3
+0,7
This season — Championship · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 14%
7%
20%
Points per game
0,6
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
33%
60%
Both score Ø 54%
47%
60%
Average goals
2,4
3,5
Scored
0,7
1,6
Conceded
1,7
1,9
Goal diff per game
-0,9
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

53% Possession 47%
13 Shots 8
2 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
8 Corners 6
2 Offside 2
17 Free kicks against 9
4 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Ipswich 24. · Preston 20.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sheffield United 15 9 2 4 +9 29
2 Middlesbrough 15 7 6 2 +9 27
3 Norwich 15 8 3 4 +3 27
4 West Brom 15 7 4 4 +10 25
5 Derby 14 7 4 3 +9 25
6 Leeds 14 6 6 2 +11 24
7 Nott'm Forest 15 5 8 2 +6 23
8 Swansea 15 6 5 4 +6 23
9 Birmingham 15 5 8 2 +5 23
10 QPR 15 7 2 6 -4 23
11 Bristol City 15 6 4 5 +3 22
12 Blackburn 15 5 7 3 -2 22
13 Aston Villa 16 5 6 5 +1 21
14 Stoke 15 5 5 5 -1 20
15 Wigan 15 6 2 7 -4 20
16 Sheffield Weds 15 5 4 6 -5 19
17 Brentford 15 4 6 5 +3 18
18 Millwall 15 4 4 7 -4 16
19 Bolton 16 4 4 8 -11 16
20 Preston 15 3 5 7 -5 14
21 Rotherham 15 3 5 7 -10 14
22 Reading 15 3 3 9 -6 12
23 Hull 15 3 3 9 -9 12
24 Ipswich 15 1 6 8 -14 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ipswich Preston
Luke Chambers 🟨
36′
44′
🟨 Chris Maxwell
45′
🟨 Daniel Johnson
1–0 F. Sears
45′
Half-time 1–0
Gwion Edwards 🟨
51′
57′
🟨 Ben Pearson
Freddie Sears 🟨
62′
62′
🔁 L. Moult
↦ D. Johnson
71′
🔁 L. Nmecha
↦ T. Barkhuizen
72′
🔁 P. Gallagher
↦ A. Browne
73′
P. Gallagher 1–1
K. Jackson 🔁
↦ J. Roberts
74′
75′
🟨 Chris Maxwell
75′
🟥 Chris Maxwell
D. Rowe 🔁
↦ G. Edwards
77′
A. Dozzell 🔁
↦ F. Downes
84′
Matthew Pennington 🟨
90′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Ipswich

4-3-3
33 B. Bialkowski G
4 L. Chambers D
12 J. Spence D
3 J. Knudsen D
5 M. Pennington D
6 T. Chalobah M
8 C. Skuse M
7 G. Edwards M
19 J. Roberts F
21 F. Downes M
20 F. Sears F
Bench (7)
9 K. Jackson
17 D. Rowe
23 A. Dozzell
1 D. Gerken
2 J. Donacien
25 A. Edun
36 J. Lankester

Coach: P. Lambert

Preston

4-2-3-1
22 C. Maxwell G
23 P. Huntington D
5 T. Clarke D
6 B. Davies D
29 T. Barkhuizen M
11 D. Johnson M
4 B. Pearson M
8 A. Browne M
3 J. Earl D
24 S. Maguire F
7 C. Robinson M
Bench (7)
9 L. Moult
45 L. Nmecha
12 P. Gallagher
1 D. Rudd
2 D. Fisher
14 J. Storey
21 B. Barker

Coach: A. Neil

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Andy Woolmer · 45 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
17,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,07 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.