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Eliteserien
Referee: Svein Oddvar Moen
Stabaek
S T U T U
0–1
Full-time
Kristiansund
S T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stabaek Kristiansund
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
1,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
2,8
4,0
Scored
1,3
2,5
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+1,0
This season — Eliteserien · 27/27 matches
Win Ø 30%
19%
41%
Points per game
0,9
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
56%
56%
Both score Ø 67%
70%
63%
Average goals
2,9
3,0
Scored
1,2
1,6
Conceded
1,7
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

57% Possession 43%
21 Shots 14
6 Shots on target 7
9 Blocked shots 3
6 Goalkeeper saves 6
11 Corners 7
1 Offside 1
7 Free kicks against 12
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Stabaek 15. · Kristiansund 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rosenborg 27 17 6 4 +24 57
2 Brann 27 15 7 5 +13 52
3 Molde 27 15 5 7 +21 50
4 Haugesund 27 14 5 8 +10 47
5 Ranheim 27 12 6 9 -3 42
6 Odd 27 11 7 9 +7 40
7 Kristiansund 27 11 7 9 +4 40
8 Valerenga 27 10 7 10 -6 37
9 Sarpsborg 08 27 10 6 11 +5 36
10 Tromso 27 10 3 14 -4 33
11 Stromsgodset 27 7 8 12 +0 29
12 Bodo/Glimt 27 6 11 10 -3 29
13 Start 27 8 5 14 -18 29
14 Lillestrom 27 6 9 12 -12 27
15 Stabaek 27 5 10 12 -15 25
16 Sandefjord 27 3 10 14 -23 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Stabaek Kristiansund
26′
🟨 Aliou Coly
Half-time 0–0
61′
🔁 T. Gjertsen
↦ S. Alexandersson
H. Vetlesen 🔁
↦ M. Njie
65′
72′
🔁 B. Sørmo
↦ D. Ulvestad
80′
A. Coly 0–1
B. Sørmo
O. Brynhildsen 🔁
↦ H. Vetlesen
82′
F. Valenčič 🔁
↦ J. Sæter
85′
85′
🔁 J. Isaksen
↦ S. Aasmundsen
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Stabaek

4-4-2
12 M. Sandberg G
4 V. Demidov D
21 D. Granli D
16 A. Hanche-Olsen D
18 J. Moe D
19 A. Keita M
11 M. Njie M
8 J. Sæter M
42 T. Børkeeiet M
99 O. Omoijuanfo F
10 F. Boli F
Bench (7)
25 H. Vetlesen
20 O. Brynhildsen
77 F. Valenčič
1 S. Kjellevold
2 R. Hernández
5 S. Strømnes
23 E. Bohinen

Coach: H. Berg

Kristiansund

4-3-3
1 S. McDermott G
5 D. Ulvestad D
4 C. Psyché D
15 E. Sivertsen M
17 A. Coly D
9 L. Kalludra M
18 S. Aasmundsen M
24 S. Sørli M
21 A. Diop M
20 S. Alexandersson F
13 B. Bye F
Bench (7)
7 T. Gjertsen
22 B. Sørmo
14 J. Isaksen
3 C. Aasbak
6 B. Lepistu
12 A. Vaikla
25 H. Gjesdal

Coach: C. Michelsen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Svein Oddvar Moen · 86 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
20,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.