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Championship
Referee: Peter Bankes
Blackburn
T S S T U
1–0
Full-time
QPR
S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Blackburn QPR
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
2,7
2,0
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
1,5
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,7
This season — Championship · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 40%
33%
47%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
47%
40%
Both score Ø 44%
60%
27%
Average goals
2,5
2,3
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

60% Possession 40%
10 Shots 5
2 Shots on target 1
5 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 2
0 Offside 4
13 Free kicks against 16
4 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Blackburn 12. · QPR 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sheffield United 15 9 2 4 +9 29
2 Middlesbrough 15 7 6 2 +9 27
3 Norwich 15 8 3 4 +3 27
4 West Brom 15 7 4 4 +10 25
5 Derby 14 7 4 3 +9 25
6 Leeds 14 6 6 2 +11 24
7 Nott'm Forest 15 5 8 2 +6 23
8 Swansea 15 6 5 4 +6 23
9 Birmingham 15 5 8 2 +5 23
10 QPR 15 7 2 6 -4 23
11 Bristol City 15 6 4 5 +3 22
12 Blackburn 15 5 7 3 -2 22
13 Aston Villa 16 5 6 5 +1 21
14 Stoke 15 5 5 5 -1 20
15 Wigan 15 6 2 7 -4 20
16 Sheffield Weds 15 5 4 6 -5 19
17 Brentford 15 4 6 5 +3 18
18 Millwall 15 4 4 7 -4 16
19 Bolton 16 4 4 8 -11 16
20 Preston 15 3 5 7 -5 14
21 Rotherham 15 3 5 7 -10 14
22 Reading 15 3 3 9 -6 12
23 Hull 15 3 3 9 -9 12
24 Ipswich 15 1 6 8 -14 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Blackburn QPR
4′
🟨 Massimo Luongo
Harrison Reed 🟨
19′
Richard Smallwood 🟨
33′
Half-time 0–0
51′
🟨 Eberechi Eze
Corry Evans 🟨
56′
K. Palmer 🔁
↦ R. Smallwood
63′
66′
🟨 Toni Leistner
J. Rothwell 🔁
↦ D. Graham
74′
76′
🔁 M. Smith
↦ E. Eze
B. Brereton 🔁
↦ A. Armstrong
80′
87′
🔁 D. Furlong
↦ Àngel Rangel
1–0 B. Dack
87′
88′
🔁 I. Chair
↦ J. Scowen
Ben Brereton 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 Luke Freeman
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Blackburn

4-2-3-1
13 J. Leutwiler G
26 D. Lenihan D
3 D. Williams D
17 A. Bell D
31 E. Bennett M
29 C. Evans M
6 R. Smallwood M
23 B. Dack M
4 H. Reed M
10 D. Graham F
7 A. Armstrong M
Bench (7)
45 K. Palmer
8 J. Rothwell
19 B. Brereton
2 R. Nyambe
5 J. Rodwell
32 C. Conway
33 A. Fisher

Coach: T. Mowbray

QPR

4-2-3-1
13 J. Lumley G
22 Àngel Rangel D
33 J. Lynch D
3 J. Bidwell D
37 T. Leistner D
23 P. Wszołek M
11 J. Scowen M
21 M. Luongo M
10 E. Eze F
7 L. Freeman M
32 N. Wells F
Bench (7)
17 M. Smith
2 D. Furlong
19 I. Chair
1 M. Ingram
4 G. Hall
8 J. Cousins
20 B. Osayi-Samuel

Coach: S. McClaren

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Peter Bankes · 118 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.