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La Liga

Referee: Ignacio Iglesias Villanueva

Sociedad

U U S S S

1–3

Full-time

Real Madrid

S S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sociedad Real Madrid

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

2,0

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

4,0

3,5

Scored

2,5

2,7

Conceded

1,5

0,8

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+1,8

This season — La Liga · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 67%

100%

33%

Points per game

3,0

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

100%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

4,7

3,0

Scored

3,3

2,0

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

+2,0

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

50% Possession 50%

10 Shots 18

5 Shots on target 6

0 Blocked shots 5

4 Goalkeeper saves 4

4 Corners 6

0 Offside 3

12 Free kicks against 15

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sociedad 3. · Real Madrid 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	4	4	0	0	+10	12
2	Sevilla	4	3	1	0	+5	10
3	Sociedad	3	3	0	0	+6	9
4	Ath Madrid	4	2	2	0	+5	8
5	Ath Bilbao	4	2	1	1	+2	7
6	Villarreal	4	2	0	2	+1	6
7	Levante	4	1	3	0	+1	6
8	Valencia	4	1	3	0	+1	6
9	Leganes	4	2	0	2	+0	6
10	Betis	4	2	0	2	-2	6
11	Las Palmas	4	2	0	2	-2	6
12	Eibar	4	2	0	2	-2	6
13	Real Madrid	3	1	2	0	+3	5
14	Getafe	4	1	1	2	-1	4
15	Girona	4	1	1	2	-2	4
16	Celta	3	1	0	2	-1	3
17	La Coruna	4	0	1	3	-6	1
18	Espanol	3	0	1	2	-6	1
19	Malaga	4	0	0	4	-5	0
20	Alaves	4	0	0	4	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	2	2	0	0	+7	6
2	Betis	2	2	0	0	+2	6
3	Levante	3	1	2	0	+1	5
4	Sevilla	2	1	1	0	+3	4
5	Ath Bilbao	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	Valencia	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Girona	3	1	1	1	+0	4
8	Sociedad	1	1	0	0	+3	3
9	Villarreal	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	Ath Madrid	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Celta	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Leganes	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Eibar	2	1	0	1	+0	3
14	Las Palmas	2	1	0	1	-3	3
15	Real Madrid	2	0	2	0	+0	2
16	Espanol	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Getafe	2	0	0	2	-2	0
18	Malaga	2	0	0	2	-3	0
19	La Coruna	2	0	0	2	-5	0
20	Alaves	2	0	0	2	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sociedad	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Barcelona	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Sevilla	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	Ath Madrid	3	1	2	0	+4	5
5	Getafe	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Real Madrid	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Las Palmas	2	1	0	1	+1	3
8	Ath Bilbao	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Leganes	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Villarreal	3	1	0	2	-1	3
11	Eibar	2	1	0	1	-2	3
12	Valencia	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Levante	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	La Coruna	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Espanol	2	0	1	1	-5	1
16	Celta	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Girona	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Alaves	2	0	0	2	-2	0
19	Malaga	2	0	0	2	-2	0
20	Betis	2	0	0	2	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.