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La Liga
Referee: David Fernandez Borbalan
Getafe
U T U T S
1–2
Full-time
Barcelona
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Getafe Barcelona
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
33%
100%
Points per game
1,3
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
1,8
4,2
Scored
1,0
3,5
Conceded
0,8
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+2,8
This season — La Liga · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 67%
33%
100%
Points per game
1,3
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 17%
33%
0%
Average goals
1,3
3,0
Scored
0,7
3,0
Conceded
0,7
0,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+3,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

29% Possession 71%
13 Shots 7
4 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 4
4 Offside 5
15 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Getafe 11. · Barcelona 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 3 3 0 0 +9 9
2 Sociedad 3 3 0 0 +6 9
3 Sevilla 3 2 1 0 +4 7
4 Ath Bilbao 3 2 1 0 +3 7
5 Levante 4 1 3 0 +1 6
6 Valencia 4 1 3 0 +1 6
7 Leganes 4 2 0 2 +0 6
8 Eibar 4 2 0 2 -2 6
9 Ath Madrid 3 1 2 0 +4 5
10 Real Madrid 3 1 2 0 +3 5
11 Getafe 3 1 1 1 +0 4
12 Girona 3 1 1 1 -1 4
13 Celta 3 1 0 2 -1 3
14 Villarreal 3 1 0 2 -2 3
15 Las Palmas 3 1 0 2 -3 3
16 Betis 3 1 0 2 -3 3
17 La Coruna 3 0 1 2 -5 1
18 Espanol 3 0 1 2 -6 1
19 Malaga 3 0 0 3 -4 0
20 Alaves 3 0 0 3 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Getafe Barcelona
10′
🟨 Gerard Piqué
29′
🔁 Deulofeu
↦ O. Dembélé
Juan Cala 🟨
32′
1–0 G. Shibasaki
Bergara
39′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 Denis Suárez
↦ Iniesta
53′
🟨 Gerard Deulofeu
Álvaro Jiménez 🔁
↦ G. Shibasaki
54′
62′
Denis Suárez 1–1
Sergi Roberto
66′
🟨 Jordi Alba
Sergio Mora 🔁
↦ A. Ndiaye
71′
73′
🟨 Luis Suárez
77′
🔁 Paulinho
↦ I. Rakitić
84′
Paulinho 1–2
L. Messi
Portillo 🔁
↦ M. Arambarri
85′
Damián Suárez 🟨
88′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Getafe

4-2-3-1
13 Guaita G
3 Antunes D
22 D. Suárez D
16 Juan Cala D
2 D. Dakonam D
5 Bergara M
21 F. Fajr M
10 G. Shibasaki M
18 M. Arambarri M
19 Jorge Molina F
23 A. Ndiaye M
Bench (7)
7 Álvaro Jiménez
14 Sergio Mora
12 Portillo
1 E. Martínez
4 Bruno González
9 Ángel
15 Molinero

Coach: José Bordalás

Barcelona

4-3-3
1 M. ter Stegen G
3 Piqué D
18 Jordi Alba D
23 S. Umtiti D
8 Iniesta M
4 I. Rakitić M
5 Sergio Busquets M
20 Sergi Roberto D
10 L. Messi F
9 L. Suárez F
11 O. Dembélé F
Bench (7)
16 Deulofeu
6 Denis Suárez
15 Paulinho
2 Nélson Semedo
13 J. Cillessen
14 J. Mascherano
21 André Gomes

Coach: Ernesto Valverde

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

David Fernandez Borbalan · 58 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,7 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
18,6 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,33 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.