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La Liga
Referee: Jose Luis Gonzalez Gonzalez
Getafe
S T T T U
2–0
Full-time
Villarreal
T U S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Getafe Villarreal
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,8
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,0
Scored
1,0
0,7
Conceded
1,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,7
This season — La Liga · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 38%
25%
50%
Points per game
0,9
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 46%
33%
58%
Average goals
2,6
2,3
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
1,6
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

41% Possession 59%
12 Shots 7
5 Shots on target 0
4 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 6
7 Offside 6
0 Free kicks against 0
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Getafe 17. · Villarreal 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 13 11 0 2 +21 33
2 Ath Madrid 13 9 2 2 +12 29
3 Real Madrid 12 7 3 2 +15 24
4 Celta 13 7 3 3 +3 24
5 La Coruna 13 5 6 2 +7 21
6 Villarreal 12 6 3 3 +4 21
7 Eibar 12 5 5 2 +5 20
8 Valencia 12 5 4 3 +8 19
9 Betis 13 5 3 5 -5 18
10 Ath Bilbao 12 5 2 5 +2 17
11 Espanol 13 5 1 7 -10 16
12 Sevilla 12 4 3 5 -1 15
13 Vallecano 12 4 2 6 -6 14
14 Sociedad 13 3 3 7 -4 12
15 Sp Gijon 13 3 3 7 -8 12
16 Granada 13 2 5 6 -7 11
17 Getafe 12 3 2 7 -7 11
18 Malaga 13 2 4 7 -6 10
19 Las Palmas 13 2 4 7 -9 10
20 Levante 13 2 4 7 -14 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Getafe Villarreal
5′
🟨 Víctor Ruiz
Angel Lafita 🟨
17′
1–0 Lafita
Álvaro Vázquez
21′
Juan Cala 🟨
34′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 Denis Suárez
↦ Samu Castillejo
2–0 Álvaro Vázquez
Lafita
51′
56′
🔁 A. Rukavina
↦ Mario Gaspar
64′
🔁 C. Bakambu
↦ Nahuel Leiva
Juan Rodriguez 🟨
65′
Víctor Rodríguez 🔁
↦ Lafita
66′
E. Buendía 🔁
↦ Álvaro Vázquez
74′
Mehdi Lacen 🟨
78′
Wamberto 🔁
↦ Pablo Sarabia
83′
85′
🟨 Eric Bailly
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Getafe

13 Guaita G
2 Alexis D
19 D. Suárez D
6 Juan Cala D
3 Roberto Lago D
22 Juan Rodríguez M
7 Lafita M
8 M. Lacen M
10 Pablo Sarabia M
12 S. Šćepović F
9 Álvaro Vázquez F
Bench (7)
18 Víctor Rodríguez
32 E. Buendía
30 Wamberto
1 B. Megyeri
4 E. Velázquez
11 K. Yoda
17 B. Mensah

Villarreal

13 A. Areola G
2 Mario Gaspar D
6 Víctor Ruíz D
24 E. Bailly D
27 Adrián Marín D
8 J. dos Santos M
4 Tomás Pina M
14 Trigueros M
19 Samu Castillejo M
7 Samu M
26 Nahuel Leiva M
Bench (7)
18 Denis Suárez
22 A. Rukavina
17 C. Bakambu
3 B. Jokić
21 Bruno
25 M. Barbosa
28 Alfonso Pedraza

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Jose Luis Gonzalez Gonzalez · 83 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,5 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.