La Liga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Sociedad
Villarreal
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 3–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Real Madrid
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 2 |
Barcelona
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 3 |
Sociedad
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 4 |
Valencia
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 5 |
Leganes
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 6 |
Levante
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 7 |
Eibar
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 8 |
Girona
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 9 |
Ath Madrid
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 10 |
Sevilla
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 11 |
Espanol
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 12 |
Ath Bilbao
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 13 |
Getafe
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 14 |
Celta
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 |
Las Palmas
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 16 |
Alaves
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 17 |
Villarreal
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 18 |
Malaga
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 19 |
Betis
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 20 |
La Coruna
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
G. Rulli
G
Aritz Elustondo
D
Mikel Oyarzabal
M
Coach: Eusebio Sacristán
Andrés Fernández
G
Rodri Hernández
M
Pablo Fornals
M
Coach: Fran Escribá
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Celta
Sociedad
Celta
Sociedad
Sociedad
Malaga
Sevilla
Sociedad
Sociedad
Granada
Javier Estrada Fernandez · 77 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.