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La Liga
Referee: Javier Estrada Fernandez
Sociedad
S U U U S
3–0
Full-time
Villarreal
S T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sociedad Villarreal
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
3,8
2,5
Scored
2,2
1,3
Conceded
1,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,2
This season — La Liga · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
100%
0%
Points per game
3,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
100%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
100%
0%
Average goals
5,0
1,0
Scored
3,0
0,0
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

60% Possession 40%
15 Shots 6
9 Shots on target 1
2 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 6
9 Corners 4
2 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 22
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sociedad 3. · Villarreal 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 1 1 0 0 +3 3
2 Barcelona 1 1 0 0 +2 3
3 Sociedad 1 1 0 0 +1 3
4 Valencia 1 1 0 0 +1 3
5 Leganes 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 Levante 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Eibar 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Girona 1 0 1 0 +0 1
9 Ath Madrid 1 0 1 0 +0 1
10 Sevilla 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Espanol 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Ath Bilbao 1 0 1 0 +0 1
13 Getafe 1 0 1 0 +0 1
14 Celta 1 0 0 1 -1 0
15 Las Palmas 1 0 0 1 -1 0
16 Alaves 1 0 0 1 -1 0
17 Villarreal 1 0 0 1 -1 0
18 Malaga 1 0 0 1 -1 0
19 Betis 1 0 0 1 -2 0
20 La Coruna 1 0 0 1 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sociedad Villarreal
3′
🟨 Jaume Costa
Aritz Elustondo 🟨
16′
1–0 Willian José
25′
2–0 Xabi Prieto
Raúl Navas
34′
Willian José 🟨
39′
3–0 Juanmi
Aritz Elustondo
45′
Half-time 3–0
46′
🔁 M. Barbosa
↦ Andrés Fernández
C. Vela 🔁
↦ Juanmi
66′
68′
🟨 Manu Trigueros
70′
🔁 E. Ünal
↦ C. Bacca
Canales 🔁
↦ Willian José
74′
80′
🔁 N. Sansone
↦ Trigueros
Agirretxe 🔁
↦ Raúl Navas
82′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Sociedad

4-3-3
1 G. Rulli G
22 Raúl Navas D
20 Kévin Rodrigues D
19 Álvaro Odriozola D
15 Aritz Elustondo D
10 Xabi Prieto M
4 Illarramendi M
17 Zurutuza M
12 Willian José F
7 Juanmi F
18 Mikel Oyarzabal M
Bench (7)
11 C. Vela
16 Canales
9 Agirretxe
3 Diego Llorente
13 Toño
24 De La Bella
29 Ander Guevara

Coach: Eusebio Sacristán

Villarreal

4-4-2
13 Andrés Fernández G
11 Jaume Costa D
3 Álvaro González D
4 Rúben Semedo D
24 A. N'Diaye M
14 Trigueros M
10 Samu Castillejo M
16 Rodri Hernández M
8 Pablo Fornals M
9 C. Bacca F
17 C. Bakambu F
Bench (7)
25 M. Barbosa
15 E. Ünal
18 N. Sansone
6 Víctor Ruíz
30 Pau Torres
33 Chuca
22 A. Rukavina

Coach: Fran Escribá

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Javier Estrada Fernandez · 77 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.