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La Liga

Referee: Carlos Clos Gomez

Barcelona

S S S U U

1–1

Full-time

Real Madrid

S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Barcelona Real Madrid

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 84%

67%

100%

Points per game

2,3

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

50%

100%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,5

4,0

Scored

1,8

3,3

Conceded

0,7

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+2,7

This season — La Liga · 13/13 matches

Win Ø 70%

62%

77%

Points per game

2,1

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 70%

62%

77%

Both score Ø 66%

62%

69%

Average goals

3,6

Scored

2,5

2,8

Conceded

1,1

0,8

Goal diff per game

+1,5

+1,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

55% Possession 45%

11 Shots 14

3 Shots on target 5

4 Blocked shots 3

4 Goalkeeper saves 1

5 Corners 7

1 Offside 2

19 Free kicks against 16

4 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Barcelona 2. · Real Madrid 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	13	10	3	0	+25	33
2	Barcelona	13	8	3	2	+19	27
3	Sevilla	14	8	3	3	+5	27
4	Ath Madrid	13	7	3	3	+17	24
5	Sociedad	13	7	2	4	+8	23
6	Villarreal	13	6	4	3	+9	22
7	Eibar	13	6	3	4	+4	21
8	Ath Bilbao	13	6	2	5	+1	20
9	Celta	13	6	2	5	-2	20
10	Las Palmas	13	5	4	4	+3	19
11	Malaga	13	5	4	4	+2	19
12	Espanol	13	4	6	3	+0	18
13	Alaves	13	4	4	5	-3	16
14	Betis	13	4	2	7	-11	14
15	Leganes	13	4	1	8	-14	13
16	Valencia	13	3	2	8	-7	11
17	La Coruna	13	2	4	7	-10	10
18	Sp Gijon	13	2	3	8	-15	9
19	Granada	14	1	5	8	-17	8
20	Osasuna	13	1	4	8	-14	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sevilla	7	6	0	1	+6	18
2	Real Madrid	7	5	2	0	+9	17
3	Villarreal	7	5	1	1	+9	16
4	Malaga	7	5	1	1	+6	16
5	Eibar	7	5	1	1	+6	16
6	Las Palmas	7	4	3	0	+8	15
7	Celta	7	5	0	2	+3	15
8	Sociedad	7	4	2	1	+6	14
9	Ath Madrid	6	4	1	1	+11	13
10	Ath Bilbao	6	4	1	1	+4	13
11	Barcelona	6	3	2	1	+8	11
12	Betis	6	2	2	2	-3	8
13	Espanol	7	1	4	2	-1	7
14	La Coruna	6	2	1	3	-1	7
15	Sp Gijon	6	2	1	3	-6	7
16	Granada	7	1	3	3	-2	6
17	Alaves	6	1	3	2	-2	6
18	Valencia	6	1	1	4	-5	4
19	Leganes	6	1	1	4	-6	4
20	Osasuna	7	0	2	5	-8	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	6	5	1	0	+16	16
2	Barcelona	7	5	1	1	+11	16
3	Ath Madrid	7	3	2	2	+6	11
4	Espanol	6	3	2	1	+1	11
5	Alaves	7	3	1	3	-1	10
6	Sociedad	6	3	0	3	+2	9
7	Sevilla	7	2	3	2	-1	9
8	Leganes	7	3	0	4	-8	9
9	Valencia	7	2	1	4	-2	7
10	Ath Bilbao	7	2	1	4	-3	7
11	Villarreal	6	1	3	2	+0	6
12	Betis	7	2	0	5	-8	6
13	Eibar	6	1	2	3	-2	5
14	Celta	6	1	2	3	-5	5
15	Osasuna	6	1	2	3	-6	5
16	Las Palmas	6	1	1	4	-5	4
17	Malaga	6	0	3	3	-4	3
18	La Coruna	7	0	3	4	-9	3
19	Sp Gijon	7	0	2	5	-9	2
20	Granada	7	0	2	5	-15	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.