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La Liga

Referee: David Fernandez Borbalan

Real Madrid

U S S S T

0–4

Full-time

Barcelona

T S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Real Madrid Barcelona

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

50%

83%

Points per game

1,8

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,0

3,7

Scored

2,0

2,7

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+1,7

This season — La Liga · 11/11 matches

Win Ø 73%

64%

82%

Points per game

2,2

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 69%

64%

73%

Both score Ø 55%

45%

64%

Average goals

3,0

3,4

Scored

2,4

2,3

Conceded

0,6

1,1

Goal diff per game

+1,7

+1,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

41% Possession 59%

13 Shots 18

7 Shots on target 7

4 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 7

10 Corners 3

3 Offside 0

0 Free kicks against 0

3 Yellow cards 2

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Real Madrid 2. · Barcelona 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	11	9	0	2	+13	27
2	Real Madrid	11	7	3	1	+19	24
3	Ath Madrid	11	7	2	2	+10	23
4	Celta	11	6	3	2	+4	21
5	Villarreal	11	6	2	3	+4	20
6	Eibar	11	5	4	2	+5	19
7	Valencia	11	5	3	3	+8	18
8	Ath Bilbao	11	5	2	4	+4	17
9	La Coruna	11	3	6	2	+3	15
10	Sevilla	12	4	3	5	-1	15
11	Betis	11	4	3	4	-5	15
12	Vallecano	11	4	1	6	-6	13
13	Espanol	11	4	1	6	-11	13
14	Sociedad	12	3	3	6	+0	12
15	Sp Gijon	11	3	3	5	-4	12
16	Getafe	11	3	1	7	-7	10
17	Malaga	11	2	3	6	-4	9
18	Las Palmas	11	2	3	6	-7	9
19	Granada	11	1	4	6	-9	7
20	Levante	11	1	4	6	-16	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	6	6	0	0	+13	18
2	Real Madrid	5	4	1	0	+11	13
3	Ath Madrid	6	4	1	1	+4	13
4	Ath Bilbao	6	4	0	2	+6	12
5	Villarreal	5	4	0	1	+5	12
6	Sevilla	6	4	0	2	+4	12
7	Valencia	5	3	2	0	+7	11
8	Eibar	6	3	2	1	+3	11
9	Vallecano	6	3	1	2	+1	10
10	Getafe	5	3	0	2	+5	9
11	Malaga	6	2	2	2	+2	8
12	Las Palmas	6	2	2	2	+1	8
13	Celta	6	2	2	2	+0	8
14	Espanol	5	2	1	2	-5	7
15	La Coruna	5	1	3	1	+2	6
16	Levante	6	1	3	2	-4	6
17	Sp Gijon	5	1	2	2	-1	5
18	Sociedad	6	1	2	3	-2	5
19	Betis	5	1	1	3	-4	4
20	Granada	5	0	2	3	-7	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celta	5	4	1	0	+4	13
2	Real Madrid	6	3	2	1	+8	11
3	Betis	6	3	2	1	-1	11
4	Ath Madrid	5	3	1	1	+6	10
5	La Coruna	6	2	3	1	+1	9
6	Barcelona	5	3	0	2	+0	9
7	Eibar	5	2	2	1	+2	8
8	Villarreal	6	2	2	2	-1	8
9	Sociedad	6	2	1	3	+2	7
10	Valencia	6	2	1	3	+1	7
11	Sp Gijon	6	2	1	3	-3	7
12	Espanol	6	2	0	4	-6	6
13	Granada	6	1	2	3	-2	5
14	Ath Bilbao	5	1	2	2	-2	5
15	Sevilla	6	0	3	3	-5	3
16	Vallecano	5	1	0	4	-7	3
17	Malaga	5	0	1	4	-6	1
18	Las Palmas	5	0	1	4	-8	1
19	Getafe	6	0	1	5	-12	1
20	Levante	5	0	1	4	-12	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.