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Championship
Referee: David Coote
Birmingham
T U U S S
0–3
Full-time
Barnsley
S U U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Birmingham Barnsley
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,7
2,5
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,5
This season — Championship · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 39%
44%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
44%
61%
Both score Ø 59%
61%
56%
Average goals
2,4
3,2
Scored
1,3
1,6
Conceded
1,1
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

53% Possession 47%
13 Shots 16
4 Shots on target 6
1 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 6
3 Offside 1
19 Free kicks against 18
4 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Birmingham 4. · Barnsley 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Newcastle 19 13 1 5 +21 40
2 Brighton 18 11 5 2 +17 38
3 Reading 18 10 4 4 +6 34
4 Birmingham 18 8 7 3 +5 31
5 Leeds 18 9 2 7 +1 29
6 Huddersfield 17 9 2 6 -2 29
7 Norwich 18 8 3 7 -1 27
8 Derby 18 7 5 6 +3 26
9 Fulham 18 6 7 5 +4 25
10 Aston Villa 18 5 10 3 +3 25
11 Preston 18 7 4 7 +2 25
12 Nott'm Forest 19 7 4 8 +1 25
13 Sheffield Weds 17 7 4 6 -1 25
14 Bristol City 18 7 3 8 +2 24
15 Ipswich 18 6 6 6 +0 24
16 QPR 19 6 5 8 -8 23
17 Brentford 18 6 4 8 +3 22
18 Barnsley 18 6 4 8 +0 22
19 Wolves 19 5 6 8 -3 21
20 Burton Albion 18 4 7 7 -5 19
21 Blackburn 18 5 4 9 -7 19
22 Wigan 18 4 6 8 -4 18
23 Cardiff 18 5 3 10 -12 18
24 Rotherham 18 1 4 13 -25 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Birmingham Barnsley
3′
🟨 Ryan Kent
24′
🟨 Sam Morsy
Josh Cogley 🟨
34′
David Davis 🟨
38′
38′
M. Roberts 0–1
C. Hourihane
Half-time 0–1
Che Adams 🔁
↦ L. Jutkiewicz
60′
G. Stewart 🔁
↦ M. Kieftenbeld
60′
David Davis 🟨
71′
David Davis 🟥
71′
R. Brown 🔁
↦ D. Cotterill
72′
84′
S. Winnall 0–2
C. Hourihane
85′
🔁 R. Williams
↦ R. Kent
Robert Tesche 🟨
87′
87′
S. Winnall 0–3
C. Hourihane
89′
🔁 A. Hammill
↦ Sam Morsy
89′
🔁 S. Janko
↦ S. Winnall
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Birmingham

4-4-2
29 T. Kuszczak G
3 J. Grounds D
5 R. Shotton D
28 M. Morrison D
25 J. Cogley M
11 D. Cotterill M
7 R. Tesche M
6 M. Kieftenbeld M
26 D. Davis M
9 C. Donaldson F
15 L. Jutkiewicz F
Bench (7)
14 Che Adams
20 G. Stewart
18 R. Brown
1 A. Legzdins
4 P. Robinson
8 S. Gleeson
17 V. Solomon-Otabor

Coach: G. Rowett

Barnsley

4-4-2
1 A. Davies G
5 A. MacDonald D
4 M. Roberts D
2 J. Bree D
8 C. Hourihane M
29 Sam Morsy M
17 A. Yiadom D
6 J. Scowen M
40 R. Kent M
20 T. Bradshaw F
9 S. Winnall F
Bench (7)
28 R. Williams
7 A. Hammill
21 S. Janko
13 N. Townsend
16 C. Evans
19 C. Kpekawa
32 A. Armstrong

Coach: P. Heckingbottom

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

David Coote · 99 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.