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La Liga

Referee: Alberto Undiano

Valencia

T S S T S

2–3

Full-time

Barcelona

S U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valencia Barcelona

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,5

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 83%

83%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

3,2

4,5

Scored

1,5

3,2

Conceded

1,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+1,8

This season — La Liga · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 51%

38%

63%

Points per game

1,1

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

75%

Both score Ø 69%

75%

63%

Average goals

3,3

4,5

Scored

1,4

3,3

Conceded

1,9

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

29% Possession 71%

7 Shots 15

4 Shots on target 8

2 Blocked shots 1

5 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 1

4 Offside 2

15 Free kicks against 13

5 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Valencia 15. · Barcelona 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	8	5	3	0	+18	18
2	Real Madrid	8	5	3	0	+14	18
3	Sevilla	8	5	2	1	+4	17
4	Barcelona	8	5	1	2	+16	16
5	Villarreal	8	4	4	0	+10	16
6	Ath Bilbao	8	5	0	3	+3	15
7	Las Palmas	8	3	3	2	+3	12
8	Eibar	9	3	3	3	+1	12
9	Betis	9	3	2	4	-8	11
10	Alaves	8	2	4	2	+1	10
11	Sociedad	8	3	1	4	-1	10
12	Leganes	8	3	1	4	-4	10
13	Celta	8	3	1	4	-7	10
14	Malaga	8	2	3	3	-2	9
15	Valencia	8	3	0	5	-4	9
16	Espanol	9	1	5	3	-5	8
17	La Coruna	8	2	2	4	-5	8
18	Sp Gijon	8	2	1	5	-11	7
19	Osasuna	9	1	3	5	-8	6
20	Granada	8	0	2	6	-15	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sevilla	4	4	0	0	+5	12
2	Ath Madrid	4	3	1	0	+12	10
3	Villarreal	4	3	1	0	+8	10
4	Ath Bilbao	4	3	0	1	+3	9
5	Las Palmas	4	2	2	0	+5	8
6	Real Madrid	4	2	2	0	+4	8
7	Barcelona	4	2	1	1	+7	7
8	Eibar	4	2	1	1	+2	7
9	Sociedad	4	2	1	1	+1	7
10	Malaga	4	2	1	1	+0	7
11	Alaves	4	1	3	0	+2	6
12	La Coruna	4	2	0	2	+0	6
13	Celta	4	2	0	2	-3	6
14	Sp Gijon	4	2	0	2	-4	6
15	Betis	4	1	2	1	-4	5
16	Valencia	4	1	0	3	-4	3
17	Espanol	5	0	3	2	-4	3
18	Osasuna	5	0	2	3	-4	2
19	Granada	4	0	1	3	-3	1
20	Leganes	4	0	1	3	-6	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	4	3	1	0	+10	10
2	Barcelona	4	3	0	1	+9	9
3	Leganes	4	3	0	1	+2	9
4	Ath Madrid	4	2	2	0	+6	8
5	Villarreal	4	1	3	0	+2	6
6	Valencia	4	2	0	2	+0	6
7	Ath Bilbao	4	2	0	2	+0	6
8	Betis	5	2	0	3	-4	6
9	Eibar	5	1	2	2	-1	5
10	Espanol	4	1	2	1	-1	5
11	Sevilla	4	1	2	1	-1	5
12	Alaves	4	1	1	2	-1	4
13	Las Palmas	4	1	1	2	-2	4
14	Osasuna	4	1	1	2	-4	4
15	Celta	4	1	1	2	-4	4
16	Sociedad	4	1	0	3	-2	3
17	Malaga	4	0	2	2	-2	2
18	La Coruna	4	0	2	2	-5	2
19	Sp Gijon	4	0	1	3	-7	1
20	Granada	4	0	1	3	-12	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.