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Bundesliga

Referee: Bastian Dankert

RB Leipzig

S S S S S

2–1

Full-time

Schalke 04

S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

RB Leipzig Schalke 04

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 84%

100%

67%

Points per game

3,0

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,5

2,3

Scored

2,7

1,8

Conceded

0,8

0,5

Goal diff per game

+1,8

+1,3

This season — Bundesliga · 12/12 matches

Win Ø 59%

75%

42%

Points per game

2,5

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

58%

50%

Both score Ø 55%

67%

42%

Average goals

3,1

2,5

Scored

2,3

1,4

Conceded

0,8

1,1

Goal diff per game

+1,4

+0,3

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

47% Possession 53%

14 Shots 11

5 Shots on target 5

5 Blocked shots 1

4 Goalkeeper saves 3

8 Corners 5

4 Offside 5

16 Free kicks against 20

1 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match RB Leipzig 2. · Schalke 04 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	13	9	3	1	+20	30
2	RB Leipzig	12	9	3	0	+17	30
3	Hertha	13	8	3	2	+9	27
4	Hoffenheim	13	6	7	0	+11	25
5	Dortmund	13	7	3	3	+16	24
6	Ein Frankfurt	12	7	3	2	+8	24
7	FC Koln	13	6	4	3	+6	22
8	Schalke 04	12	5	2	5	+4	17
9	Leverkusen	13	5	2	6	-1	17
10	Mainz	13	5	2	6	-2	17
11	Freiburg	13	5	1	7	-8	16
12	Augsburg	12	3	4	5	-4	13
13	M'gladbach	13	3	4	6	-9	13
14	Werder Bremen	13	3	2	8	-15	11
15	Wolfsburg	13	2	4	7	-6	10
16	Darmstadt	12	2	2	8	-13	8
17	FC Ingolstadt 04	13	1	3	9	-14	6
18	Hamburg	12	0	4	8	-19	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hertha	6	6	0	0	+10	18
2	Bayern Munich	7	5	2	0	+14	17
3	Dortmund	7	5	2	0	+13	17
4	Hoffenheim	7	4	3	0	+7	15
5	FC Koln	6	4	2	0	+9	14
6	Ein Frankfurt	6	4	2	0	+4	14
7	RB Leipzig	5	4	1	0	+6	13
8	Schalke 04	6	4	0	2	+7	12
9	M'gladbach	7	3	3	1	+5	12
10	Freiburg	6	4	0	2	-1	12
11	Leverkusen	7	3	2	2	+1	11
12	Mainz	6	3	1	2	+2	10
13	Werder Bremen	7	3	0	4	-2	9
14	Darmstadt	6	2	2	2	+0	8
15	Augsburg	6	1	2	3	-5	5
16	FC Ingolstadt 04	6	0	2	4	-7	2
17	Wolfsburg	7	0	2	5	-8	2
18	Hamburg	6	0	2	4	-11	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	RB Leipzig	7	5	2	0	+11	17
2	Bayern Munich	6	4	1	1	+6	13
3	Hoffenheim	6	2	4	0	+4	10
4	Ein Frankfurt	6	3	1	2	+4	10
5	Hertha	7	2	3	2	-1	9
6	Wolfsburg	6	2	2	2	+2	8
7	Augsburg	6	2	2	2	+1	8
8	FC Koln	7	2	2	3	-3	8
9	Dortmund	6	2	1	3	+3	7
10	Mainz	7	2	1	4	-4	7
11	Leverkusen	6	2	0	4	-2	6
12	Schalke 04	6	1	2	3	-3	5
13	Freiburg	7	1	1	5	-7	4
14	FC Ingolstadt 04	7	1	1	5	-7	4
15	Hamburg	6	0	2	4	-8	2
16	Werder Bremen	6	0	2	4	-13	2
17	M'gladbach	6	0	1	5	-14	1
18	Darmstadt	6	0	0	6	-13	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.