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Championship
Referee: Scott Duncan
2–1
Full-time
Preston
S T S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sheffield Weds Preston
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,0
2,3
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,7
This season — Championship · 17/18 matches
Win Ø 40%
41%
39%
Points per game
1,5
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
41%
50%
Both score Ø 52%
59%
44%
Average goals
2,3
2,4
Scored
1,1
1,3
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

50% Possession 50%
9 Shots 15
4 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 6
1 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 6
1 Yellow cards 0
1 Red cards 2
The table before the match Sheffield Weds 13. · Preston 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Newcastle 19 13 1 5 +21 40
2 Brighton 18 11 5 2 +17 38
3 Reading 18 10 4 4 +6 34
4 Birmingham 18 8 7 3 +5 31
5 Leeds 18 9 2 7 +1 29
6 Huddersfield 17 9 2 6 -2 29
7 Norwich 18 8 3 7 -1 27
8 Derby 18 7 5 6 +3 26
9 Fulham 18 6 7 5 +4 25
10 Aston Villa 18 5 10 3 +3 25
11 Preston 18 7 4 7 +2 25
12 Nott'm Forest 19 7 4 8 +1 25
13 Sheffield Weds 17 7 4 6 -1 25
14 Bristol City 18 7 3 8 +2 24
15 Ipswich 18 6 6 6 +0 24
16 QPR 19 6 5 8 -8 23
17 Brentford 18 6 4 8 +3 22
18 Barnsley 18 6 4 8 +0 22
19 Wolves 19 5 6 8 -3 21
20 Burton Albion 18 4 7 7 -5 19
21 Blackburn 18 5 4 9 -7 19
22 Wigan 18 4 6 8 -4 18
23 Cardiff 18 5 3 10 -12 18
24 Rotherham 18 1 4 13 -25 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sheffield Weds Preston
1–0 F. Forestieri
A. Reach
9′
W. Buckley 🔁
↦ R. Wallace
27′
D. Jones 🔁
↦ G. Loovens
35′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 M. Vermijl
↦ A. McGeady
46′
🔁 J. Beckford
↦ A. Browne
Kieran Lee 🟨
58′
Fernando Forestieri 🟥
65′
S. Fletcher 🔁
↦ Lucas João
74′
2–0 S. Fletcher
79′
81′
🔁 E. Doyle
↦ A. Baptiste
82′
E. Doyle 2–1
90′
🟥 Jermaine Beckford
90′
🟥 Eoin Doyle
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Sheffield Weds

4-4-2
1 K. Westwood G
12 G. Loovens D
32 J. Hunt D
23 S. Hutchinson M
15 T. Lees D
9 A. Reach M
33 R. Wallace M
5 K. Lee M
41 B. Bannan M
45 F. Forestieri F
19 Lucas João F
Bench (7)
38 W. Buckley
3 D. Jones
6 S. Fletcher
16 L. Palmer
25 C. Dawson
36 D. Pudil
44 A. Nuhiu

Coach: Carlos Carvalhal

Preston

4-3-3
22 C. Maxwell G
27 A. Baptiste D
5 T. Clarke D
3 G. Cunningham D
6 B. Wright D
14 A. McGeady M
11 D. Johnson M
4 B. Pearson M
8 A. Browne M
37 C. Robinson M
25 J. Hugill F
Bench (7)
2 M. Vermijl
10 J. Beckford
13 E. Doyle
1 A. Lindegaard
9 S. Makienok
18 B. Pringle
23 P. Huntington

Coach: S. Grayson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Scott Duncan · 93 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
18,5 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.