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La Liga

Referee: Alejandro Hernandez

Real Madrid

S S S S S

2–1

Full-time

Sp Gijon

T U U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Real Madrid Sp Gijon

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

83%

Points per game

2,7

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

3,8

2,8

Scored

3,2

1,0

Conceded

0,7

1,8

Goal diff per game

+2,5

-0,8

This season — La Liga · 12/12 matches

Win Ø 46%

75%

17%

Points per game

2,5

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

75%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,7

3,0

Scored

2,8

0,9

Conceded

0,8

2,1

Goal diff per game

+2,0

-1,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

53% Possession 47%

19 Shots 9

7 Shots on target 3

6 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

5 Corners 6

2 Offside 0

9 Free kicks against 18

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Real Madrid 1. · Sp Gijon 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	12	9	3	0	+24	30
2	Barcelona	12	8	2	2	+19	26
3	Sevilla	12	7	3	2	+5	24
4	Villarreal	12	6	4	2	+11	22
5	Sociedad	12	7	1	4	+8	22
6	Ath Madrid	12	6	3	3	+14	21
7	Eibar	13	6	3	4	+4	21
8	Ath Bilbao	12	6	2	4	+3	20
9	Malaga	13	5	4	4	+2	19
10	Celta	12	5	2	5	-4	17
11	Las Palmas	12	4	4	4	+1	16
12	Espanol	12	3	6	3	-3	15
13	Betis	13	4	2	7	-11	14
14	Alaves	12	3	4	5	-5	13
15	Leganes	12	4	1	7	-11	13
16	Valencia	12	3	2	7	-6	11
17	La Coruna	13	2	4	7	-10	10
18	Sp Gijon	12	2	3	7	-14	9
19	Osasuna	12	1	4	7	-11	7
20	Granada	12	0	5	7	-16	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Villarreal	6	5	1	0	+11	16
2	Malaga	7	5	1	1	+6	16
3	Eibar	7	5	1	1	+6	16
4	Sevilla	6	5	0	1	+5	15
5	Real Madrid	6	4	2	0	+8	14
6	Ath Madrid	6	4	1	1	+11	13
7	Sociedad	6	4	1	1	+6	13
8	Ath Bilbao	6	4	1	1	+4	13
9	Las Palmas	6	3	3	0	+6	12
10	Celta	6	4	0	2	+1	12
11	Barcelona	6	3	2	1	+8	11
12	Betis	6	2	2	2	-3	8
13	La Coruna	6	2	1	3	-1	7
14	Sp Gijon	6	2	1	3	-6	7
15	Alaves	6	1	3	2	-2	6
16	Espanol	6	0	4	2	-4	4
17	Valencia	6	1	1	4	-5	4
18	Leganes	6	1	1	4	-6	4
19	Granada	6	0	3	3	-3	3
20	Osasuna	6	0	2	4	-5	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	6	5	1	0	+16	16
2	Barcelona	6	5	0	1	+11	15
3	Espanol	6	3	2	1	+1	11
4	Sociedad	6	3	0	3	+2	9
5	Sevilla	6	2	3	1	+0	9
6	Leganes	6	3	0	3	-5	9
7	Ath Madrid	6	2	2	2	+3	8
8	Valencia	6	2	1	3	-1	7
9	Ath Bilbao	6	2	1	3	-1	7
10	Alaves	6	2	1	3	-3	7
11	Villarreal	6	1	3	2	+0	6
12	Betis	7	2	0	5	-8	6
13	Eibar	6	1	2	3	-2	5
14	Celta	6	1	2	3	-5	5
15	Osasuna	6	1	2	3	-6	5
16	Las Palmas	6	1	1	4	-5	4
17	Malaga	6	0	3	3	-4	3
18	La Coruna	7	0	3	4	-9	3
19	Sp Gijon	6	0	2	4	-8	2
20	Granada	6	0	2	4	-13	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.