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La Liga

Referee: David Fernandez Borbalan

Ath Madrid

S S T S T

0–3

Full-time

Real Madrid

U S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Madrid Real Madrid

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

67%

Points per game

2,0

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

33%

83%

Both score Ø 58%

33%

83%

Average goals

3,3

4,0

Scored

2,3

3,0

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,3

+2,0

This season — La Liga · 11/11 matches

Win Ø 64%

55%

73%

Points per game

1,9

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 55%

36%

73%

Both score Ø 55%

36%

73%

Average goals

3,0

3,7

Scored

2,3

2,8

Conceded

0,7

0,9

Goal diff per game

+1,5

+1,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

47% Possession 53%

16 Shots 12

5 Shots on target 7

5 Blocked shots 1

4 Goalkeeper saves 5

8 Corners 6

3 Offside 2

21 Free kicks against 14

4 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ath Madrid 5. · Real Madrid 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	11	8	3	0	+21	27
2	Barcelona	12	8	2	2	+19	26
3	Sevilla	12	7	3	2	+5	24
4	Villarreal	11	6	4	1	+12	22
5	Ath Madrid	11	6	3	2	+17	21
6	Sociedad	11	6	1	4	+6	19
7	Eibar	12	5	3	4	+2	18
8	Ath Bilbao	11	5	2	4	+2	17
9	Celta	12	5	2	5	-4	17
10	Las Palmas	12	4	4	4	+1	16
11	Malaga	12	4	4	4	+1	16
12	Betis	12	4	2	6	-9	14
13	Alaves	11	3	4	4	-4	13
14	Espanol	11	2	6	3	-4	12
15	Valencia	11	3	1	7	-6	10
16	La Coruna	12	2	4	6	-9	10
17	Leganes	11	3	1	7	-13	10
18	Sp Gijon	11	2	3	6	-12	9
19	Osasuna	11	1	4	6	-9	7
20	Granada	11	0	4	7	-16	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Villarreal	6	5	1	0	+11	16
2	Sevilla	6	5	0	1	+5	15
3	Real Madrid	6	4	2	0	+8	14
4	Ath Madrid	5	4	1	0	+14	13
5	Sociedad	6	4	1	1	+6	13
6	Malaga	6	4	1	1	+5	13
7	Eibar	6	4	1	1	+4	13
8	Las Palmas	6	3	3	0	+6	12
9	Celta	6	4	0	2	+1	12
10	Barcelona	6	3	2	1	+8	11
11	Ath Bilbao	5	3	1	1	+3	10
12	Betis	6	2	2	2	-3	8
13	La Coruna	6	2	1	3	-1	7
14	Sp Gijon	5	2	1	2	-4	7
15	Alaves	5	1	3	1	-1	6
16	Espanol	6	0	4	2	-4	4
17	Granada	6	0	3	3	-3	3
18	Valencia	5	1	0	4	-5	3
19	Osasuna	6	0	2	4	-5	2
20	Leganes	5	0	1	4	-8	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	6	5	0	1	+11	15
2	Real Madrid	5	4	1	0	+13	13
3	Sevilla	6	2	3	1	+0	9
4	Leganes	6	3	0	3	-5	9
5	Ath Madrid	6	2	2	2	+3	8
6	Espanol	5	2	2	1	+0	8
7	Valencia	6	2	1	3	-1	7
8	Ath Bilbao	6	2	1	3	-1	7
9	Alaves	6	2	1	3	-3	7
10	Villarreal	5	1	3	1	+1	6
11	Sociedad	5	2	0	3	+0	6
12	Betis	6	2	0	4	-6	6
13	Eibar	6	1	2	3	-2	5
14	Osasuna	5	1	2	2	-4	5
15	Celta	6	1	2	3	-5	5
16	Las Palmas	6	1	1	4	-5	4
17	Malaga	6	0	3	3	-4	3
18	La Coruna	6	0	3	3	-8	3
19	Sp Gijon	6	0	2	4	-8	2
20	Granada	5	0	1	4	-13	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.