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Eliteserien
Referee: Tore Hansen
Molde
S S S T S
5–0
Full-time
Sarpsborg 08
T U U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Molde Sarpsborg 08
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
67%
0%
Points per game
2,2
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
100%
33%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
3,8
2,3
Scored
2,5
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-0,3
This season — Eliteserien · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 47%
66%
28%
Points per game
2,0
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 68%
90%
45%
Both score Ø 59%
72%
45%
Average goals
3,7
2,4
Scored
2,5
1,1
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

58% Possession 42%
23 Shots 6
10 Shots on target 0
4 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 5
7 Corners 4
2 Offside 0
9 Free kicks against 14
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Molde 2. · Sarpsborg 08 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bodo/Glimt 29 25 3 1 +68 78
2 Molde 29 19 2 8 +36 59
3 Valerenga 29 14 10 5 +14 52
4 Rosenborg 29 15 6 8 +15 51
5 Kristiansund 29 12 12 5 +14 48
6 Viking 29 12 8 9 +5 44
7 Odd 28 13 4 11 +4 43
8 Stabaek 29 8 12 9 -8 36
9 Haugesund 29 10 6 13 -14 36
10 Sandefjord 29 9 7 13 -12 34
11 Brann 29 8 9 12 -10 33
12 Sarpsborg 08 29 8 8 13 -5 32
13 Stromsgodset 28 6 10 12 -14 28
14 Start 29 6 9 14 -19 27
15 Mjondalen 29 7 3 19 -22 24
16 Aalesund 29 2 5 22 -52 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Molde Sarpsborg 08
24′
🟨 T. Heintz
1–0 L. James
25′
2–0 M. Moström
M. Ellingsen
27′
3–0 O. Omoijuanfo
M. Ellingsen
38′
Half-time 3–0
S. Gregersen 🔁
↦ S. Sinyan
46′
4–0 O. Omoijuanfo
56′
61′
🔁 M. Dyrestam
↦ S. Bojang
61′
🔁 J. Adéoti
↦ G. Vetti
O. Brynhildsen 🔁
↦ M. Moström
66′
M. Bolly 🔁
↦ M. Bjørnbak
67′
81′
🔁 A. Elyounoussi
↦ A. Konte
81′
🔁 E. Derviskadic
↦ M. Ofkir
O. Sundgot 🔁
↦ O. Omoijuanfo
84′
5–0 M. Ellingsen
88′
91′
🟨 J. Adeoti
Full-time 5–0

Line-ups

Molde

4-2-3-1
12 Á. Craninx G
2 M. Bjørnbak D
5 S. Sinyan D
7 M. Eikrem M
16 E. Hussain M
11 M. Ellingsen M
20 H. Wingo D
14 E. Knudtzon D
9 M. Moström M
99 O. Omoijuanfo M
10 L. James F
Bench (7)
6 S. Gregersen
22 O. Brynhildsen
30 M. Bolly
37 O. Sundgot
40 A. Ugelvik
26 M. Ranmark
1 A. Linde

Coach: E. Moe

Sarpsborg 08

3-4-3
12 S. Thomas G
5 M. Ødegård D
6 N. Næss M
4 B. Utvik D
2 S. Bojang M
17 J. Soltvedt M
8 M. Ofkir F
14 T. Heintz F
15 G. Vetti M
18 S. Jarl D
27 A. Konte F
Bench (7)
22 M. Dyrestam
21 J. Adéoti
24 A. Elyounoussi
23 E. Derviskadic
33 D. Mitov-Nilsson
19 L. Memdy
46 W. Lunde

Coach: M. Stahre

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Tore Hansen · 217 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.