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Eliteserien

Referee: Tommy Skjerven

Molde

T S S U U

2–1

Full-time

Sarpsborg 08

S U U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Molde Sarpsborg 08

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,8

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,5

3,3

Scored

2,5

1,5

Conceded

1,0

1,8

Goal diff per game

+1,5

-0,3

This season — Eliteserien · 15/14 matches

Win Ø 37%

60%

14%

Points per game

2,0

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 48%

67%

29%

Both score Ø 62%

60%

64%

Average goals

3,3

2,4

Scored

2,3

1,1

Conceded

1,0

1,4

Goal diff per game

+1,3

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

52% Possession 48%

18 Shots 18

7 Shots on target 5

3 Blocked shots 5

4 Goalkeeper saves 4

8 Corners 5

1 Offside 4

13 Free kicks against 10

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Molde 1. · Sarpsborg 08 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Molde	15	9	3	3	+20	30
2	Bodo/Glimt	14	9	2	3	+10	29
3	Odd	15	9	2	4	+5	29
4	Brann	16	7	5	4	+3	26
5	Valerenga	14	7	3	4	+10	24
6	Rosenborg	15	7	3	5	+2	24
7	Kristiansund	14	6	3	5	+2	21
8	Haugesund	15	5	5	5	+6	20
9	Viking	14	5	4	5	-3	19
10	Lillestrom	15	5	3	7	-6	18
11	Mjondalen	15	3	7	5	-4	16
12	Tromso	15	5	1	9	-13	16
13	Stabaek	15	4	3	8	-7	15
14	Ranheim	15	4	3	8	-9	15
15	Sarpsborg 08	14	2	7	5	-4	13
16	Stromsgodset	15	2	4	9	-12	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Odd	8	7	1	0	+9	22
2	Molde	7	6	1	0	+16	19
3	Bodo/Glimt	8	6	1	1	+15	19
4	Rosenborg	8	5	2	1	+8	17
5	Valerenga	7	5	1	1	+11	16
6	Brann	9	4	3	2	+2	15
7	Kristiansund	6	4	1	1	+6	13
8	Lillestrom	8	4	1	3	+0	13
9	Viking	6	3	2	1	+5	11
10	Haugesund	8	2	4	2	+3	10
11	Mjondalen	8	2	4	2	-1	10
12	Stabaek	7	2	3	2	+2	9
13	Sarpsborg 08	7	2	3	2	+0	9
14	Tromso	7	3	0	4	-1	9
15	Ranheim	7	2	1	4	-4	7
16	Stromsgodset	7	2	1	4	-5	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Molde	8	3	2	3	+4	11
2	Brann	7	3	2	2	+1	11
3	Haugesund	7	3	1	3	+3	10
4	Bodo/Glimt	6	3	1	2	-5	10
5	Valerenga	7	2	2	3	-1	8
6	Kristiansund	8	2	2	4	-4	8
7	Ranheim	8	2	2	4	-5	8
8	Viking	8	2	2	4	-8	8
9	Odd	7	2	1	4	-4	7
10	Rosenborg	7	2	1	4	-6	7
11	Tromso	8	2	1	5	-12	7
12	Mjondalen	7	1	3	3	-3	6
13	Stabaek	8	2	0	6	-9	6
14	Lillestrom	7	1	2	4	-6	5
15	Sarpsborg 08	7	0	4	3	-4	4
16	Stromsgodset	8	0	3	5	-7	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.