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Bundesliga

Referee: S Ebner

Sturm Graz

T S S S S

3–0

Full-time

St. Polten

T U T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sturm Graz St. Polten

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

83%

33%

Points per game

2,5

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 34%

17%

50%

Average goals

2,7

4,2

Scored

2,2

Conceded

0,5

2,0

Goal diff per game

+1,7

+0,2

This season — Bundesliga · 10/11 matches

Win Ø 48%

60%

36%

Points per game

2,1

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

40%

73%

Both score Ø 38%

30%

45%

Average goals

2,4

3,9

Scored

1,9

2,1

Conceded

0,5

1,8

Goal diff per game

+1,4

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

58% Possession 42%

18 Shots 8

5 Shots on target 2

6 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

5 Corners 4

5 Offside 2

17 Free kicks against 21

2 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sturm Graz 3. · St. Polten 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	11	8	1	2	+25	25
2	LASK	11	7	2	2	+14	23
3	Sturm Graz	10	6	3	1	+14	21
4	SK Rapid	11	6	3	2	+8	21
5	Tirol	11	5	2	4	+3	17
6	St. Polten	11	4	3	4	+3	15
7	Wolfsberger AC	10	4	1	5	-3	13
8	Hartberg	11	2	5	4	-10	11
9	Austria Vienna	11	2	4	5	-6	10
10	Ried	11	3	1	7	-13	10
11	Altach	11	2	2	7	-15	8
12	Admira	11	2	1	8	-20	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	LASK	6	6	0	0	+17	18
2	Salzburg	5	4	0	1	+14	12
3	SK Rapid	6	3	2	1	+5	11
4	Sturm Graz	5	3	1	1	+6	10
5	Ried	6	3	0	3	-3	9
6	Tirol	5	2	2	1	+4	8
7	Admira	5	2	0	3	-5	6
8	Hartberg	5	1	2	2	-3	5
9	St. Polten	6	1	2	3	-4	5
10	Austria Vienna	5	1	2	2	-5	5
11	Altach	6	1	2	3	-6	5
12	Wolfsberger AC	5	1	1	3	-4	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	6	4	1	1	+11	13
2	Sturm Graz	5	3	2	0	+8	11
3	St. Polten	5	3	1	1	+7	10
4	SK Rapid	5	3	1	1	+3	10
5	Wolfsberger AC	5	3	0	2	+1	9
6	Tirol	6	3	0	3	-1	9
7	Hartberg	6	1	3	2	-7	6
8	Austria Vienna	6	1	2	3	-1	5
9	LASK	5	1	2	2	-3	5
10	Altach	5	1	0	4	-9	3
11	Ried	5	0	1	4	-10	1
12	Admira	6	0	1	5	-15	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.