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Championship

Referee: D Webb

Stoke

S S T U U

1–0

Full-time

Blackburn

S U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stoke Blackburn

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,5

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

17%

83%

Both score Ø 50%

17%

83%

Average goals

0,8

2,8

Scored

0,5

1,5

Conceded

0,3

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,2

This season — Championship · 19/19 matches

Win Ø 42%

42%

Points per game

1,6

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 53%

37%

68%

Both score Ø 45%

37%

53%

Average goals

2,3

3,0

Scored

1,3

1,8

Conceded

1,1

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

31% Possession 69%

3 Shots 15

1 Shots on target 3

1 Blocked shots 6

3 Goalkeeper saves 0

2 Corners 6

1 Offside 4

9 Free kicks against 9

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Stoke 8. · Blackburn 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Norwich	20	13	4	3	+11	43
2	Bournemouth	19	10	7	2	+19	37
3	Watford	19	9	7	3	+10	34
4	Reading	19	10	3	6	+6	33
5	Swansea	18	9	5	4	+9	32
6	Brentford	18	8	7	3	+11	31
7	Middlesbrough	19	8	6	5	+6	30
8	Stoke	19	8	6	5	+4	30
9	Bristol City	20	9	3	8	-1	30
10	Cardiff	20	8	5	7	+6	29
11	Blackburn	19	8	4	7	+11	28
12	Barnsley	19	8	4	7	-1	28
13	Preston	20	8	2	10	-3	26
14	Luton	19	7	5	7	-4	26
15	Huddersfield	19	7	4	8	-5	25
16	Millwall	19	5	9	5	-1	24
17	Birmingham	19	5	7	7	-3	22
18	Coventry	19	5	7	7	-7	22
19	QPR	19	4	7	8	-8	19
20	Rotherham	19	4	4	11	-9	16
21	Nott'm Forest	19	4	4	11	-11	16
22	Derby	19	3	7	9	-12	16
23	Sheffield Weds	19	3	6	10	-11	15
24	Wycombe	19	2	5	12	-17	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bournemouth	10	7	2	1	+12	23
2	Middlesbrough	10	7	2	1	+11	23
3	Watford	10	7	2	1	+10	23
4	Norwich	10	6	3	1	+6	21
5	Swansea	9	5	3	1	+7	18
6	Reading	10	6	0	4	+3	18
7	Blackburn	10	5	2	3	+6	17
8	Barnsley	10	5	2	3	+2	17
9	Huddersfield	9	5	1	3	+4	16
10	Coventry	10	4	4	2	-1	16
11	Luton	9	4	3	2	+3	15
12	Cardiff	10	4	2	4	+5	14
13	Stoke	9	4	2	3	+0	14
14	Bristol City	10	4	2	4	-1	14
15	Brentford	8	3	4	1	+4	13
16	QPR	10	3	4	3	+0	13
17	Nott'm Forest	10	3	3	4	-1	12
18	Rotherham	9	3	2	4	+1	11
19	Preston	10	3	1	6	-4	10
20	Millwall	9	1	6	2	-2	9
21	Sheffield Weds	9	1	5	3	-2	8
22	Birmingham	9	2	2	5	-4	8
23	Derby	10	1	4	5	-8	7
24	Wycombe	9	1	3	5	-5	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Norwich	10	7	1	2	+5	22
2	Brentford	10	5	3	2	+7	18
3	Stoke	10	4	4	2	+4	16
4	Preston	10	5	1	4	+1	16
5	Bristol City	10	5	1	4	+0	16
6	Reading	9	4	3	2	+3	15
7	Cardiff	10	4	3	3	+1	15
8	Millwall	10	4	3	3	+1	15
9	Bournemouth	9	3	5	1	+7	14
10	Swansea	9	4	2	3	+2	14
11	Birmingham	10	3	5	2	+1	14
12	Blackburn	9	3	2	4	+5	11
13	Watford	9	2	5	2	+0	11
14	Barnsley	9	3	2	4	-3	11
15	Luton	10	3	2	5	-7	11
16	Derby	9	2	3	4	-4	9
17	Huddersfield	10	2	3	5	-9	9
18	Middlesbrough	9	1	4	4	-5	7
19	Sheffield Weds	10	2	1	7	-9	7
20	Coventry	9	1	3	5	-6	6
21	QPR	9	1	3	5	-8	6
22	Rotherham	10	1	2	7	-10	5
23	Wycombe	10	1	2	7	-12	5
24	Nott'm Forest	9	1	1	7	-10	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.