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Championship
Referee: G Ward
Wycombe
T U T T T
1–1
Full-time
QPR
T T U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Wycombe QPR
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,3
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,3
1,8
Scored
0,8
0,5
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,8
This season — Championship · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 16%
11%
21%
Points per game
0,6
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 37%
37%
37%
Both score Ø 48%
42%
53%
Average goals
2,1
2,3
Scored
0,6
0,9
Conceded
1,5
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,9
-0,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

45% Possession 55%
15 Shots 11
7 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 3
5 Goalkeeper saves 5
5 Corners 8
1 Offside 2
17 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Wycombe 24. · QPR 19.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Norwich 20 13 4 3 +11 43
2 Bournemouth 19 10 7 2 +19 37
3 Watford 19 9 7 3 +10 34
4 Reading 19 10 3 6 +6 33
5 Swansea 18 9 5 4 +9 32
6 Brentford 18 8 7 3 +11 31
7 Middlesbrough 19 8 6 5 +6 30
8 Stoke 19 8 6 5 +4 30
9 Bristol City 20 9 3 8 -1 30
10 Cardiff 20 8 5 7 +6 29
11 Blackburn 19 8 4 7 +11 28
12 Barnsley 19 8 4 7 -1 28
13 Preston 20 8 2 10 -3 26
14 Luton 19 7 5 7 -4 26
15 Huddersfield 19 7 4 8 -5 25
16 Millwall 19 5 9 5 -1 24
17 Birmingham 19 5 7 7 -3 22
18 Coventry 19 5 7 7 -7 22
19 QPR 19 4 7 8 -8 19
20 Rotherham 19 4 4 11 -9 16
21 Nott'm Forest 19 4 4 11 -11 16
22 Derby 19 3 7 9 -12 16
23 Sheffield Weds 19 3 6 10 -11 15
24 Wycombe 19 2 5 12 -17 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Wycombe QPR
28′
J. McCarthy 1–0
own goal
Half-time 1–0
Joe Jacobson 🟨
51′
F. Onyedinma 🔁
↦ G. McCleary
66′
A. Mehmeti 🔁
↦ N. Freeman
76′
U. Ikpeazu 🔁
↦ S. Kashket
76′
77′
🔁 C. Willock
↦ T. Carroll
81′
🔁 M. Bonne
↦ I. Chair
Ryan Allsop 🟨
86′
2–0 A. Mehmeti
J. Jacobson
88′
90′
🟨 Niko Hämäläinen
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Wycombe

4-4-2
1 R. Allsop G
3 J. Jacobson D
2 J. Grimmer D
26 J. McCarthy D
12 J. Knight D
7 D. Wheeler M
17 D. Horgan M
22 N. Freeman M
19 G. McCleary M
20 A. Akinfenwa F
11 S. Kashket F
Bench (8)
23 F. Onyedinma
33 A. Mehmeti
9 U. Ikpeazu
25 A. Samuel
27 J. Parker
31 D. Stockdale
21 D. Charles
10 M. Bloomfield

Coach: G. Ainsworth

QPR

4-2-3-1
13 T. Dieng G
20 G. Cameron M
12 D. Ball M
6 Y. Barbet D
2 T. Kane D
4 R. Dickie D
25 N. Hamalainen D
22 T. Carroll M
11 B. Osayi-Samuel M
10 I. Chair M
9 L. Dykes F
Bench (9)
21 C. Willock
7 M. Bonne
23 C. Masterson
37 A. Adomah
19 G. Thomas
32 L. Kelly
29 C. Kelman
39 D. De Silva
26 F. Bettache

Coach: M. Warburton

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,29
U ✓
3,45
B
2,17
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,96
U2,5 ✓
1,85
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

G Ward · 178 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.