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Bundesliga
Referee: F Brych
RB Leipzig
U S U S S
0–0
Full-time
FC Koln
T S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

RB Leipzig FC Koln
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,8
2,8
Scored
2,0
1,2
Conceded
0,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-0,5
This season — Bundesliga · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,3
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
50%
58%
Both score Ø 63%
50%
75%
Average goals
2,8
2,8
Scored
2,0
1,1
Conceded
0,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
+1,3
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

64% Possession 36%
14 Shots 4
6 Shots on target 1
4 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 6
8 Corners 2
4 Offside 4
11 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match RB Leipzig 3. · FC Koln 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Leverkusen 12 8 4 0 +17 28
2 Bayern Munich 12 8 3 1 +19 27
3 RB Leipzig 12 8 3 1 +15 27
4 Dortmund 13 7 1 5 +8 22
5 Union Berlin 13 5 6 2 +9 21
6 Wolfsburg 12 5 6 1 +6 21
7 Stuttgart 12 4 6 2 +7 18
8 M'gladbach 12 4 6 2 +3 18
9 Augsburg 12 4 4 4 -2 16
10 Ein Frankfurt 12 2 8 2 -3 14
11 Freiburg 12 3 5 4 -6 14
12 Hertha 12 3 4 5 -1 13
13 Hoffenheim 12 3 3 6 -3 12
14 Werder Bremen 12 2 5 5 -6 11
15 FC Koln 12 2 4 6 -8 10
16 Bielefeld 12 2 1 9 -15 7
17 Mainz 12 1 3 8 -13 6
18 Schalke 04 12 0 4 8 -27 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

RB Leipzig FC Koln
Half-time 0–0
E. Forsberg 🔁
↦ Y. Poulsen
46′
Daniel Olmo 🔁
↦ M. Sabitzer
46′
A. Sørloth 🔁
↦ A. Haidara
62′
72′
🔁 J. Hector
↦ D. Drexler
D. Borkowski 🔁
↦ K. Kampl
81′
Marcel Halstenberg 🟨
84′
84′
🔁 B. Schmitz
↦ M. Wolf
90′
🔁 J. Horn
↦ N. Katterbach
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

RB Leipzig

4-2-3-1
1 P. Gulácsi G
23 M. Halstenberg D
4 V. Orban D
3 Angeliño M
22 N. Mukiele D
5 D. Upamecano D
44 K. Kampl M
7 M. Sabitzer M
14 T. Adams M
8 A. Haidara M
9 Y. Poulsen F
Bench (7)
10 E. Forsberg
25 Daniel Olmo
19 A. Sørloth
41 D. Borkowski
33 Josep Martínez
45 E. Martel
47 J. Wosz

Coach: J. Nagelsmann

FC Koln

4-3-3
1 T. Horn G
22 Jorge Meré D
33 S. Bornauw D
3 N. Katterbach D
24 D. Drexler F
18 O. Duda F
31 M. Wolf D
28 E. Skhiri M
20 E. Rexhbecaj M
21 S. Özcan M
29 J. Thielmann F
Bench (9)
14 J. Hector
2 B. Schmitz
23 J. Horn
19 K. Ehizibue
7 T. Arokodare
27 A. Modeste
16 R. Zieler
30 F. Sørensen
15 D. Limnios

Coach: M. Gisdol

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,31
U ✓
5,57
B
9,69
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,54
U2,5 ✓
2,46
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

F Brych · 113 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.