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Eliteserien
Referee: Ola Hobber Nilsen
Sarpsborg 08
S T U S T
2–1
Full-time
Molde
T S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sarpsborg 08 Molde
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,8
4,0
Scored
1,3
2,7
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+1,3
This season — Eliteserien · 13/14 matches
Win Ø 51%
31%
71%
Points per game
1,1
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 70%
46%
93%
Both score Ø 48%
31%
64%
Average goals
2,5
3,9
Scored
1,2
2,9
Conceded
1,3
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+1,8
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

38% Possession 62%
11 Shots 15
6 Shots on target 7
0 Blocked shots 1
6 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 4
1 Offside 1
19 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sarpsborg 08 12. · Molde 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bodo/Glimt 13 11 2 0 +28 35
2 Molde 14 10 1 3 +25 31
3 Odd 13 8 1 4 +7 25
4 Valerenga 13 6 5 2 +1 23
5 Rosenborg 13 6 3 4 +11 21
6 Kristiansund 13 5 6 2 +8 21
7 Brann 13 5 3 5 -2 18
8 Stabaek 13 4 5 4 -2 17
9 Sandefjord 13 5 1 7 -8 16
10 Stromsgodset 13 4 3 6 -8 15
11 Haugesund 13 4 3 6 -8 15
12 Sarpsborg 08 13 4 2 7 -2 14
13 Viking 13 3 3 7 -9 12
14 Mjondalen 13 3 2 8 -7 11
15 Start 14 1 6 7 -12 9
16 Aalesund 13 1 4 8 -22 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sarpsborg 08 Molde
29′
🟨 Etzaz Hussain
30′
🟨 Fredrik Aursnes
1–0 M. Abdellaoue
31′
Jörgen Strand Larsen 🟨
43′
Half-time 2–0
2–0 O. Halvorsen
I. Coulibaly
56′
59′
E. Andersen 2–1
F. Aursnes
61′
🔁 E. Hestad
↦ E. Hussain
61′
🔁 O. Omoijuanfo
↦ M. Eikrem
62′
🔁 E. Knudtzon
↦ E. Andersen
S. Bojang 🔁
↦ M. Abdellaoue
63′
J. Adéoti 🔁
↦ J. Soltvedt
75′
82′
🔁 M. Bolly
↦ O. Brynhildsen
83′
🔁 T. Christensen
↦ M. Pedersen
A. Tveter 🔁
↦ O. Halvorsen
85′
S. Jarl 🔁
↦ J. Larsen
86′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Sarpsborg 08

3-4-3
31 A. Falch G
16 J. Thomassen M
22 M. Dyrestam D
5 M. Ødegård D
6 N. Næss D
7 O. Halvorsen M
17 J. Soltvedt F
11 J. Lindseth M
26 I. Coulibaly M
30 M. Abdellaoue F
10 J. Larsen F
Bench (9)
2 S. Bojang
21 J. Adéoti
28 A. Tveter
18 S. Jarl
24 A. Elyounoussi
23 S. Kvile
1 S. Nilsen
70 A. Jakobsen
27 A. Konte

Coach: M. Stahre

Molde

4-2-3-1
1 A. Linde G
28 K. Haugen D
5 S. Sinyan D
27 M. Pedersen D
7 M. Eikrem M
16 E. Hussain M
23 E. Andersen M
17 F. Aursnes M
11 M. Ellingsen D
22 O. Brynhildsen M
10 L. James F
Bench (8)
19 E. Hestad
99 O. Omoijuanfo
14 E. Knudtzon
30 M. Bolly
15 T. Christensen
9 M. Moström
25 J. Kitolano
12 Á. Craninx

Coach: E. Moe

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Ola Hobber Nilsen · 129 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.