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Premiership

Referee: S McLean

St Mirren

T U S U S

3–2

Full-time

ST Johnstone

S U U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Mirren ST Johnstone

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,3

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

17%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

1,3

2,0

Scored

0,7

1,0

Conceded

0,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

This season — Premiership · 14/17 matches

Win Ø 27%

29%

24%

Points per game

1,1

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

36%

29%

Both score Ø 39%

36%

41%

Average goals

1,8

2,2

Scored

0,6

0,9

Conceded

1,1

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

67% Possession 33%

14 Shots 6

4 Shots on target 4

3 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

4 Corners 3

1 Offside 2

12 Free kicks against 15

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match St Mirren 10. · ST Johnstone 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rangers	17	15	2	0	+43	47
2	Celtic	15	10	4	1	+23	34
3	Hibernian	17	9	5	3	+12	32
4	Aberdeen	16	9	4	3	+6	31
5	Dundee United	17	5	5	7	-9	20
6	Livingston	17	5	3	9	-7	18
7	Kilmarnock	16	5	2	9	-1	17
8	ST Johnstone	17	4	5	8	-7	17
9	Motherwell	15	4	3	8	-7	15
10	St Mirren	14	4	3	7	-7	15
11	Ross County	17	3	4	10	-22	13
12	Hamilton	16	3	2	11	-24	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rangers	8	8	0	0	+28	24
2	Aberdeen	9	6	1	2	+5	19
3	Celtic	7	5	1	1	+11	16
4	Dundee United	9	3	2	4	-1	11
5	Kilmarnock	7	3	1	3	+4	10
6	Hibernian	7	2	4	1	+1	10
7	Livingston	9	3	1	5	-4	10
8	ST Johnstone	9	2	2	5	-4	8
9	Motherwell	9	2	1	6	-8	7
10	St Mirren	7	1	3	3	-4	6
11	Ross County	8	1	3	4	-12	6
12	Hamilton	8	1	2	5	-9	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rangers	9	7	2	0	+15	23
2	Hibernian	10	7	1	2	+11	22
3	Celtic	8	5	3	0	+12	18
4	Aberdeen	7	3	3	1	+1	12
5	ST Johnstone	8	2	3	3	-3	9
6	St Mirren	7	3	0	4	-3	9
7	Dundee United	8	2	3	3	-8	9
8	Motherwell	6	2	2	2	+1	8
9	Livingston	8	2	2	4	-3	8
10	Kilmarnock	9	2	1	6	-5	7
11	Ross County	9	2	1	6	-10	7
12	Hamilton	8	2	0	6	-15	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.