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Eliteserien
Referee: Kai Erik Steen
Sarpsborg 08
T T U U S
4–0
Full-time
Start
T U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sarpsborg 08 Start
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
1,0
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
2,7
2,7
Scored
1,2
0,3
Conceded
1,5
2,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-2,0
This season — Eliteserien · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 22%
33%
11%
Points per game
1,4
0,4
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
67%
44%
Both score Ø 56%
67%
44%
Average goals
2,7
3,0
Scored
1,4
0,8
Conceded
1,2
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-1,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

52% Possession 48%
13 Shots 5
8 Shots on target 0
0 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 2
3 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 16
0 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sarpsborg 08 7. · Start 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Brann 9 8 1 0 +14 25
2 Rosenborg 9 5 3 1 +8 18
3 Haugesund 9 5 2 2 +4 17
4 Ranheim 9 5 2 2 +3 17
5 Valerenga 9 4 3 2 +2 15
6 Molde 9 4 2 3 +2 14
7 Sarpsborg 08 9 3 4 2 +2 13
8 Odd 9 4 1 4 +0 13
9 Tromso 9 3 2 4 +1 11
10 Kristiansund 9 2 4 3 -1 10
11 Lillestrom 9 3 1 5 -3 10
12 Stromsgodset 9 2 3 4 +1 9
13 Bodo/Glimt 9 2 3 4 -4 9
14 Stabaek 9 1 4 4 -7 7
15 Sandefjord 9 1 2 6 -9 5
16 Start 9 1 1 7 -13 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sarpsborg 08 Start
1–0 P. Mortensen
J. Thomassen
3′
30′
🟨 Simon Larsen
2–0 A. Askar
31′
Half-time 2–0
55′
🟨 Aron Sigurðarson
3–0 M. Lund Nielsen
55′
H. Singh 🔁
↦ M. Lund Nielsen
62′
66′
🟨 Kristján Flóki Finnbogason
66′
🔁 E. Berger
↦ S. Larsen
66′
🔁 T. Christensen
↦ K. Skaanes
72′
🔁 M. Bringaker
↦ E. Børufsen
T. Heintz 🔁
↦ O. Halvorsen
76′
4–0 A. Askar
80′
R. Schwartz 🔁
↦ M. Agger
81′
90′
🟨 Afeez Aremu Olalekan
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

Sarpsborg 08

4-4-2
31 A. Falch G
77 A. Askar D
11 J. Jørgensen D
16 J. Thomassen D
6 J. Tamm D
8 M. Lund Nielsen M
7 O. Halvorsen M
22 J. Tveita D
17 K. Zachariassen M
69 P. Mortensen F
18 M. Agger F
Bench (7)
23 H. Singh
10 T. Heintz
29 R. Schwartz
27 R. Muhammed
4 B. Utvik
21 A. Kristiansen
30 N. Tkalčić

Coach: G. Bakke

Start

4-3-3
26 J. Deumeland G
2 E. Käck D
6 S. Larsen D
15 H. Robstad D
27 E. Wichne D
14 E. Børufsen M
11 A. Sigurdarson F
19 K. Skaanes M
18 I. Twum M
4 A. Aremu M
22 Kristján Finnbogason F
Bench (7)
3 E. Berger
10 T. Christensen
20 M. Bringaker
5 A. Hadzic
7 K. Kabran
21 N. Sandberg
45 B. Boujar

Coach: M. Dempsey

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Kai Erik Steen · 84 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.