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Eliteserien
Referee: Trygve Kjensli
Sarpsborg 08
S S T S S
1–0
Full-time
Start
T T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sarpsborg 08 Start
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
67%
0%
Points per game
2,2
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
2,5
4,5
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
1,0
3,2
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-1,8
This season — Eliteserien · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 24%
47%
0%
Points per game
1,6
0,4
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
47%
53%
Both score Ø 42%
24%
59%
Average goals
2,4
3,0
Scored
1,2
0,8
Conceded
1,2
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-1,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

53% Possession 47%
18 Shots 4
6 Shots on target 0
4 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 5
7 Corners 4
1 Offside 2
15 Free kicks against 19
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sarpsborg 08 6. · Start 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rosenborg 17 12 4 1 +27 40
2 Odd 17 10 4 3 +11 34
3 Stromsgodset 17 10 2 5 +9 32
4 Brann 17 9 3 5 +9 30
5 Haugesund 17 8 4 5 +3 28
6 Sarpsborg 08 17 8 4 5 +1 28
7 Viking 17 8 3 6 -1 27
8 Molde 17 7 4 6 +2 25
9 Sogndal 17 5 8 4 +1 23
10 Lillestrom 17 5 5 7 -1 20
11 Bodo/Glimt 17 5 4 8 -2 19
12 Tromso 17 4 6 7 -8 18
13 Valerenga 17 4 3 10 -7 15
14 Stabaek 17 4 3 10 -7 15
15 Aalesund 17 3 4 10 -14 13
16 Start 17 0 7 10 -23 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sarpsborg 08 Start
18′
🟨 Lars-Jørgen Salvesen
23′
🟨 Dulee Johnson
Half-time 0–0
67′
🔁 E. Wichne
↦ D. Johnson
67′
🔁 D. Antwi
↦ L. Salvesen
M. Lund Nielsen 🔁
↦ S. Ernemann
68′
Jonas Lindberg 🟨
69′
Henri Toivomäki 🟨
76′
1–0 J. Lindberg
M. Lund Nielsen
78′
J. Tveita 🔁
↦ P. Kirkevold
79′
80′
🔁 J. Bojang
↦ D. Aase
Ole Hansen 🟨
83′
83′
🟨 Rolf Daniel Vikstøl
T. Hovda 🔁
↦ J. Lindberg
88′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Sarpsborg 08

4-4-2
1 A. Østbø G
13 O. Hansen D
3 H. Toivomaki D
16 J. Thomassen D
15 S. Rosted D
10 J. Lindberg F
17 S. Ernemann M
11 K. Tokstad M
6 A. Trondsen M
69 P. Mortensen F
7 P. Kirkevold F
Bench (7)
5 M. Lund Nielsen
22 J. Tveita
18 T. Hovda
23 J. Glesnes
19 K. Jónsson
8 O. Ugwuadu
21 A. Kristiansen

Coach: G. Bakke

Start

4-2-3-1
1 H. Opdal
3 T. Heikkilä
28 R. Vikstøl
2 J. Skogmo
15 H. Robstad D
10 D. Johnson M
14 E. Børufsen M
16 A. Hollingen M
7 C. Nwakali M
22 L. Salvesen F
9 D. Aase F
Bench (7)
27 E. Wichne
33 D. Antwi
18 J. Bojang
4 A. De John
23 E. Segberg
30 L. Sigurdsen
25 S. McDermott

Coach: S. Pedersen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Trygve Kjensli · 72 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.