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Bundesliga

Referee: Frank Willenborg

Leverkusen

S S U T S

2–0

Full-time

Mainz

U T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Leverkusen Mainz

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,8

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

3,7

4,0

Scored

2,2

1,7

Conceded

1,5

2,3

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,7

This season — Bundesliga · 19/19 matches

Win Ø 34%

42%

26%

Points per game

1,6

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 61%

68%

53%

Both score Ø 69%

74%

63%

Average goals

3,5

3,0

Scored

2,1

1,3

Conceded

1,4

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,6

-0,5

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

69% Possession 31%

12 Shots 2

3 Shots on target 1

3 Blocked shots 0

1 Goalkeeper saves 1

13 Corners 0

0 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 15

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Leverkusen 6. · Mainz 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	20	16	2	2	+33	50
2	Schalke 04	20	9	7	4	+7	34
3	Ein Frankfurt	20	9	6	5	+6	33
4	RB Leipzig	20	9	5	6	+3	32
5	Dortmund	20	8	7	5	+15	31
6	Leverkusen	19	8	7	4	+12	31
7	M'gladbach	20	9	4	7	-2	31
8	Augsburg	20	7	7	6	+3	28
9	Hoffenheim	20	7	6	7	-1	27
10	Hannover	19	7	6	6	-1	27
11	Hertha	20	6	8	6	+0	26
12	Freiburg	20	5	9	6	-13	24
13	Wolfsburg	19	3	11	5	-2	20
14	Mainz	19	5	5	9	-9	20
15	Stuttgart	20	6	2	12	-10	20
16	Werder Bremen	20	3	8	9	-9	17
17	Hamburg	20	4	4	12	-13	16
18	FC Koln	20	3	4	13	-19	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	10	9	1	0	+24	28
2	RB Leipzig	10	6	3	1	+9	21
3	M'gladbach	10	6	2	2	+4	20
4	Schalke 04	10	5	4	1	+6	19
5	Stuttgart	10	6	1	3	+3	19
6	Hannover	9	5	3	1	+7	18
7	Hoffenheim	10	5	3	2	+5	18
8	Freiburg	10	4	5	1	+3	17
9	Leverkusen	9	4	4	1	+7	16
10	Augsburg	10	4	4	2	+4	16
11	Mainz	10	5	1	4	+0	16
12	Dortmund	10	4	3	3	+9	15
13	Hertha	10	4	3	3	+1	15
14	Wolfsburg	10	2	6	2	+0	12
15	Ein Frankfurt	10	3	3	4	+0	12
16	Hamburg	10	3	2	5	-3	11
17	Werder Bremen	10	2	4	4	-3	10
18	FC Koln	10	2	2	6	-8	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	10	7	1	2	+9	22
2	Ein Frankfurt	10	6	3	1	+6	21
3	Dortmund	10	4	4	2	+6	16
4	Leverkusen	10	4	3	3	+5	15
5	Schalke 04	10	4	3	3	+1	15
6	Augsburg	10	3	3	4	-1	12
7	Hertha	10	2	5	3	-1	11
8	M'gladbach	10	3	2	5	-6	11
9	RB Leipzig	10	3	2	5	-6	11
10	Hoffenheim	10	2	3	5	-6	9
11	Hannover	10	2	3	5	-8	9
12	Wolfsburg	9	1	5	3	-2	8
13	Werder Bremen	10	1	4	5	-6	7
14	Freiburg	10	1	4	5	-16	7
15	Hamburg	10	1	2	7	-10	5
16	FC Koln	10	1	2	7	-11	5
17	Mainz	9	0	4	5	-9	4
18	Stuttgart	10	0	1	9	-13	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.