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Bundesliga

Referee: Benjamin Cortus

Hamburg

T T U S T

1–0

Full-time

Freiburg

U T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hamburg Freiburg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,8

0,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 34%

50%

17%

Average goals

3,0

2,2

Scored

0,8

0,2

Conceded

2,2

2,0

Goal diff per game

-1,3

-1,8

This season — Bundesliga · 30/30 matches

Win Ø 19%

17%

20%

Points per game

0,7

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 45%

43%

47%

Both score Ø 44%

40%

47%

Average goals

2,4

2,5

Scored

0,8

0,9

Conceded

1,6

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

58% Possession 42%

11 Shots 11

5 Shots on target 5

2 Blocked shots 2

5 Goalkeeper saves 3

10 Corners 4

5 Offside 6

15 Free kicks against 16

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Hamburg 17. · Freiburg 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	30	24	3	3	+59	75
2	Schalke 04	30	16	7	7	+14	55
3	Leverkusen	30	14	9	7	+18	51
4	Dortmund	30	14	9	7	+16	51
5	RB Leipzig	30	13	8	9	+3	47
6	Hoffenheim	30	12	10	8	+13	46
7	Ein Frankfurt	30	13	7	10	+4	46
8	M'gladbach	31	12	7	12	-6	43
9	Hertha	30	9	12	9	+0	39
10	Stuttgart	30	11	6	13	-8	39
11	Augsburg	30	9	10	11	-2	37
12	Werder Bremen	30	9	10	11	-2	37
13	Hannover	30	9	9	12	-6	36
14	Wolfsburg	31	5	15	11	-10	30
15	Mainz	30	7	9	14	-15	30
16	Freiburg	30	6	12	12	-24	30
17	Hamburg	30	5	7	18	-25	22
18	FC Koln	30	5	6	19	-29	21

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	15	13	2	0	+41	41
2	Hoffenheim	15	9	4	2	+18	31
3	Schalke 04	15	9	4	2	+11	31
4	Dortmund	15	8	4	3	+16	28
5	RB Leipzig	15	8	4	3	+8	28
6	M'gladbach	16	8	4	4	+6	28
7	Stuttgart	15	8	4	3	+5	28
8	Leverkusen	15	7	5	3	+10	26
9	Ein Frankfurt	15	7	4	4	+7	25
10	Hannover	15	7	3	5	+4	24
11	Werder Bremen	15	6	5	4	+3	23
12	Hertha	15	5	6	4	+0	21
13	Mainz	15	6	3	6	-1	21
14	Freiburg	15	5	6	4	-3	21
15	Augsburg	15	5	4	6	-1	19
16	Hamburg	15	4	4	7	-4	16
17	Wolfsburg	15	2	8	5	-3	14
18	FC Koln	15	3	4	8	-8	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	15	11	1	3	+18	34
2	Leverkusen	15	7	4	4	+8	25
3	Schalke 04	15	7	3	5	+3	24
4	Dortmund	15	6	5	4	+0	23
5	Ein Frankfurt	15	6	3	6	-3	21
6	RB Leipzig	15	5	4	6	-5	19
7	Hertha	15	4	6	5	+0	18
8	Augsburg	15	4	6	5	-1	18
9	Wolfsburg	16	3	7	6	-7	16
10	Hoffenheim	15	3	6	6	-5	15
11	M'gladbach	15	4	3	8	-12	15
12	Werder Bremen	15	3	5	7	-5	14
13	Hannover	15	2	6	7	-10	12
14	Stuttgart	15	3	2	10	-13	11
15	Mainz	15	1	6	8	-14	9
16	Freiburg	15	1	6	8	-21	9
17	FC Koln	15	2	2	11	-21	8
18	Hamburg	15	1	3	11	-21	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.