Bundesliga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Schalke 04
Wolfsburg
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Dortmund
|
9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +18 | 20 |
| 2 |
Bayern Munich
|
9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +15 | 20 |
| 3 |
RB Leipzig
|
9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +6 | 19 |
| 4 |
Hoffenheim
|
9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | +5 | 16 |
| 5 |
Schalke 04
|
9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 16 |
| 6 |
Hannover
|
9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +3 | 15 |
| 7 |
Ein Frankfurt
|
10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 15 |
| 8 |
M'gladbach
|
9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | -4 | 14 |
| 9 |
Leverkusen
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +6 | 12 |
| 10 |
Augsburg
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 12 |
| 11 |
Mainz
|
10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 11 |
| 12 |
Hertha
|
9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -2 | 10 |
| 13 |
Stuttgart
|
9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -5 | 10 |
| 14 |
Wolfsburg
|
9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | -3 | 9 |
| 15 |
Freiburg
|
9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | -11 | 8 |
| 16 |
Hamburg
|
9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -9 | 7 |
| 17 |
Werder Bremen
|
9 | 0 | 5 | 4 | -6 | 5 |
| 18 |
FC Koln
|
9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -14 | 2 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Schalke 04
Mainz
Hertha
Schalke 04
Schalke 04
Leverkusen
Hoffenheim
Schalke 04
Schalke 04
Bayern Munich
Markus Schmidt · 41 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.