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Bundesliga
Referee: Tobias Welz
Schalke 04
S T S T S
3–0
Full-time
Wolfsburg
T U T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Schalke 04 Wolfsburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,7
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
2,7
2,7
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
1,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,7
This season — Bundesliga · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 42%
47%
37%
Points per game
1,6
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
58%
47%
Both score Ø 58%
58%
58%
Average goals
2,7
2,8
Scored
1,4
1,5
Conceded
1,4
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

40% Possession 60%
15 Shots 14
3 Shots on target 2
6 Blocked shots 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 0
6 Corners 6
3 Offside 0
0 Free kicks against 0
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Schalke 04 6. · Wolfsburg 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 19 17 1 1 +41 52
2 Dortmund 19 14 2 3 +28 44
3 Hertha 19 10 4 5 +8 34
4 M'gladbach 20 10 2 8 +5 32
5 Leverkusen 19 9 4 6 +8 31
6 Schalke 04 19 9 3 7 +0 30
7 Wolfsburg 19 7 6 6 +4 27
8 Mainz 19 8 3 8 +0 27
9 FC Koln 19 6 7 6 -5 25
10 FC Ingolstadt 04 19 6 5 8 -8 23
11 Hamburg 19 6 4 9 -6 22
12 Augsburg 19 5 6 8 -5 21
13 Ein Frankfurt 19 5 6 8 -6 21
14 Darmstadt 19 5 6 8 -10 21
15 Stuttgart 19 6 3 10 -12 21
16 Werder Bremen 20 5 4 11 -17 19
17 Hoffenheim 19 2 8 9 -10 14
18 Hannover 19 4 2 13 -15 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Schalke 04 Wolfsburg
1–0 K. Huntelaar
Júnior Caiçara
24′
Klaas-Jan Huntelaar 🟨
26′
30′
🟨 Max Kruse
2–0 J. Geis
35′
Half-time 2–0
Johannes Geis 🟨
49′
58′
🟨 Nicklas Bendtner
62′
🟨 Robin Knoche
66′
🔁 Bruno Henrique
↦ M. Kruse
Y. Belhanda 🔁
↦ M. Meyer
78′
A. Schöpf 🔁
↦ E. Choupo-Moting
80′
81′
🔁 L. Putaro
↦ N. Bendtner
85′
🔁 M. Schäfer
↦ J. Guilavogui
3–0 A. Schöpf
Júnior Caiçara
87′
T. Kehrer 🔁
↦ J. Geis
90′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Schalke 04

1 R. Fährmann G
3 Júnior Caiçara D
32 J. Matip D
6 S. Kolašinac D
33 R. Neustädter D
5 J. Geis D
8 L. Goretzka M
7 M. Meyer M
19 L. Sané F
25 K. Huntelaar F
13 E. Choupo-Moting F
Bench (7)
11 Y. Belhanda
21 A. Schöpf
20 T. Kehrer
27 S. Riether
18 S. Sam
9 F. Di Santo
34 F. Giefer

Wolfsburg

1 D. Benaglio
25 Naldo D
24 S. Jung D
34 R. Rodriguez D
31 R. Knoche D
8 Vieirinha M
7 D. Caligiuri M
23 J. Guilavogui M
10 J. Draxler M
3 N. Bendtner F
11 M. Kruse F
Bench (7)
16 Bruno Henrique
32 L. Putaro
4 M. Schäfer
38 I. Azzaoui
18 Dante
28 K. Casteels
26 Felipe Lopes

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Tobias Welz · 53 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
18,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.