Bundesliga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Schalke 04
Wolfsburg
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 2–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Bayern Munich
|
19 | 17 | 1 | 1 | +41 | 52 |
| 2 |
Dortmund
|
19 | 14 | 2 | 3 | +28 | 44 |
| 3 |
Hertha
|
19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | +8 | 34 |
| 4 |
M'gladbach
|
20 | 10 | 2 | 8 | +5 | 32 |
| 5 |
Leverkusen
|
19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | +8 | 31 |
| 6 |
Schalke 04
|
19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | +0 | 30 |
| 7 |
Wolfsburg
|
19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | +4 | 27 |
| 8 |
Mainz
|
19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | +0 | 27 |
| 9 |
FC Koln
|
19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | -5 | 25 |
| 10 |
FC Ingolstadt 04
|
19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | -8 | 23 |
| 11 |
Hamburg
|
19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | -6 | 22 |
| 12 |
Augsburg
|
19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | -5 | 21 |
| 13 |
Ein Frankfurt
|
19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | -6 | 21 |
| 14 |
Darmstadt
|
19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | -10 | 21 |
| 15 |
Stuttgart
|
19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | -12 | 21 |
| 16 |
Werder Bremen
|
20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | -17 | 19 |
| 17 |
Hoffenheim
|
19 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -10 | 14 |
| 18 |
Hannover
|
19 | 4 | 2 | 13 | -15 | 14 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
S. Kolašinac
D
L. Sané
F
S. Jung
D
R. Rodriguez
D
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Darmstadt
Schalke 04
Schalke 04
Werder Bremen
Schalke 04
Hoffenheim
Augsburg
Schalke 04
Schalke 04
Hannover
Tobias Welz · 53 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.