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Bundesliga
Referee: Felix Zwayer
Wolfsburg
T U U U U
1–1
Full-time
Hoffenheim
U S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Wolfsburg Hoffenheim
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
2,5
3,3
Scored
1,2
2,0
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,7
This season — Bundesliga · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 32%
13%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
38%
50%
Both score Ø 63%
63%
63%
Average goals
2,4
3,1
Scored
1,0
1,9
Conceded
1,4
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

53% Possession 47%
15 Shots 14
6 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 5
4 Goalkeeper saves 5
8 Corners 4
4 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 24
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Wolfsburg 14. · Hoffenheim 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Dortmund 9 6 2 1 +18 20
2 Bayern Munich 9 6 2 1 +15 20
3 RB Leipzig 9 6 1 2 +6 19
4 Schalke 04 9 5 1 3 +3 16
5 Hoffenheim 8 4 3 1 +5 15
6 Hannover 9 4 3 2 +3 15
7 Ein Frankfurt 9 4 2 3 +1 14
8 M'gladbach 9 4 2 3 -4 14
9 Leverkusen 9 3 3 3 +6 12
10 Augsburg 9 3 3 3 +2 12
11 Hertha 9 2 4 3 -2 10
12 Mainz 9 3 1 5 -5 10
13 Stuttgart 9 3 1 5 -5 10
14 Wolfsburg 8 1 5 2 -3 8
15 Freiburg 9 1 5 3 -11 8
16 Hamburg 9 2 1 6 -9 7
17 Werder Bremen 9 0 5 4 -6 5
18 FC Koln 9 0 2 7 -14 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Wolfsburg Hoffenheim
24′
🟨 Stefan Posch
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 K. Akpoguma
↦ S. Posch
Y. Mallı 🔁
↦ L. Dimata
57′
69′
🔁 N. Schulz
↦ S. Zuber
M. Gómez 🔁
↦ D. Origi
70′
73′
K. Demirbay 0–1
74′
🟨 Kerem Demirbay
Yunus Malli 🟨
77′
81′
🟨 Benjamin Hübner
Y. Gerhardt 🔁
↦ G. Itter
81′
82′
🔁 E. Polanski
↦ F. Grillitsch
1–1 F. Uduokhai
D. Didavi
91′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Wolfsburg

4-2-3-1
1 K. Casteels G
3 P. Verhaegh D
29 M. Tisserand D
17 F. Uduokhai D
35 G. Itter D
16 J. Błaszczykowski M
4 Ignacio Camacho M
11 D. Didavi M
27 M. Arnold M
14 D. Origi F
9 L. Dimata F
Bench (7)
10 Y. Mallı
33 M. Gómez
13 Y. Gerhardt
7 P. Ntep
20 M. Grün
23 J. Guilavogui
31 R. Knoche

Coach: M. Schmidt

Hoffenheim

4-1-4-1
1 O. Baumann G
21 B. Hübner D
3 P. Kadeřábek M
38 S. Posch D
17 S. Zuber M
22 K. Vogt D
11 F. Grillitsch M
10 K. Demirbay M
14 S. Wagner F
27 A. Kramarić F
19 M. Uth F
Bench (7)
25 K. Akpoguma
16 N. Schulz
8 E. Polanski
7 L. Rupp
30 P. Ochs
36 G. Kobel
37 R. Hack

Coach: J. Nagelsmann

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Felix Zwayer · 92 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.