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Bundesliga
Referee: Benjamin Brand
Schalke 04
T S S U T
4–1
Full-time
Wolfsburg
U S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Schalke 04 Wolfsburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,3
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,0
This season — Bundesliga · 27/27 matches
Win Ø 32%
33%
30%
Points per game
1,3
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
41%
48%
Both score Ø 46%
48%
44%
Average goals
2,4
2,4
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
1,1
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

55% Possession 45%
12 Shots 18
7 Shots on target 1
4 Blocked shots 8
0 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 1
1 Offside 3
17 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Schalke 04 12. · Wolfsburg 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 27 20 5 2 +53 65
2 RB Leipzig 27 17 4 6 +20 55
3 Hoffenheim 27 13 12 2 +24 51
4 Dortmund 27 14 8 5 +30 50
5 FC Koln 27 10 10 7 +8 40
6 Hertha 27 12 4 11 +1 40
7 Ein Frankfurt 28 10 8 10 -2 38
8 Freiburg 27 11 5 11 -12 38
9 M'gladbach 27 10 6 11 -3 36
10 Werder Bremen 28 10 6 12 -4 36
11 Leverkusen 27 10 5 12 -1 35
12 Schalke 04 27 9 7 11 +2 34
13 Wolfsburg 27 8 6 13 -12 30
14 Hamburg 27 8 6 13 -24 30
15 Mainz 27 8 5 14 -10 29
16 Augsburg 27 7 8 12 -17 29
17 FC Ingolstadt 04 27 7 4 16 -17 25
18 Darmstadt 27 4 3 20 -36 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Schalke 04 Wolfsburg
2′
🟨 Maximilian Arnold
1–0 G. Burgstaller
M. Meyer
6′
2–0 L. Goretzka
23′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 J. Błaszczykowski
↦ S. Jung
3–0 D. Caligiuri
E. Choupo-Moting
48′
Matija Nastasić 🟨
58′
A. Schöpf 🔁
↦ E. Choupo-Moting
66′
Coke 🔁
↦ S. Kolašinac
71′
74′
🔁 Vieirinha
↦ D. Didavi
4–0 G. Burgstaller
T. Kehrer
77′
79′
M. Gómez 4–1
80′
🔁 Borja Mayoral
↦ M. Gómez
K. Huntelaar 🔁
↦ G. Burgstaller
85′
86′
🟨 Riechedly Bazoer
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

Schalke 04

4-2-3-1
1 R. Fährmann G
4 B. Höwedes D
31 M. Nastasić D
6 S. Kolašinac D
20 T. Kehrer D
18 D. Caligiuri M
8 L. Goretzka M
7 M. Meyer M
10 N. Bentaleb M
13 E. Choupo-Moting F
19 G. Burgstaller F
Bench (7)
21 A. Schöpf
23 Coke
25 K. Huntelaar
5 J. Geis
24 H. Badstuber
33 D. Avdijaj
35 A. Nübel

Coach: M. Weinzierl

Wolfsburg

4-1-4-1
28 K. Casteels G
24 S. Jung D
31 R. Knoche D
21 J. Horn D
22 Luiz Gustavo M
11 D. Didavi M
23 J. Guilavogui M
10 Y. Mallı M
27 M. Arnold M
6 R. Bazoer M
33 M. Gómez F
Bench (7)
14 J. Błaszczykowski
8 Vieirinha
17 Borja Mayoral
2 P. Wollscheid
13 Y. Gerhardt
20 M. Grün
30 P. Seguin

Coach: A. Jonker

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Benjamin Brand · 55 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.