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Eredivisie
Referee: Martin Perez
Heracles
T S T U T
3–0
Full-time
VVV Venlo
U U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Heracles VVV Venlo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
83%
17%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,3
2,8
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
2,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,5
This season — Eredivisie · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 28%
22%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
78%
33%
Both score Ø 73%
89%
56%
Average goals
3,2
2,8
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,9
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,6
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

51% Possession 49%
18 Shots 14
8 Shots on target 4
0 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
8 Corners 3
2 Offside 0
10 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Heracles 13. · VVV Venlo 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 9 8 0 1 +21 24
2 Ajax 9 6 1 2 +16 19
3 Zwolle 9 5 3 1 +5 18
4 Vitesse 8 5 2 1 +12 17
5 Feyenoord 9 5 1 3 +7 16
6 AZ Alkmaar 9 5 1 3 +2 16
7 Excelsior 10 4 2 4 -1 14
8 Heerenveen 8 4 2 2 -3 14
9 Den Haag 9 4 1 4 -2 13
10 VVV Venlo 9 3 3 3 -1 12
11 Twente 10 3 0 7 -2 9
12 Groningen 9 2 3 4 -3 9
13 Heracles 9 2 3 4 -5 9
14 Utrecht 7 3 0 4 -7 9
15 Willem II 9 3 0 6 -9 9
16 NAC Breda 9 2 1 6 -8 7
17 Sparta Rotterdam 9 1 3 5 -10 6
18 Roda 9 2 0 7 -12 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Heracles VVV Venlo
Robin Propper 🟨
6′
1–0 B. Kuwas
D. Van den Buijs
35′
2–0 K. Peterson
B. Kuwas
40′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 K. Nwakali
↦ J. Promes
54′
🟨 Danny Post
3–0 K. Peterson
69′
70′
🔁 L. Labylle
↦ R. Janssen
75′
🔁 D. van Bruggen
↦ D. Post
P. van Ooijen 🔁
↦ R. Niemeijer
76′
J. Navrátil 🔁
↦ K. Peterson
82′
K. Huisman 🔁
↦ B. Kuwas
88′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Heracles

4-3-3
1 B. Castro G
12 W. Droste D
4 R. Pröpper D
34 J. Hardeveld D
6 D. Van den Buijs D
14 J. Pelupessy M
35 Jamiro M
29 R. Niemeijer M
9 P. Gladon F
18 K. Peterson F
17 B. Kuwas F
Bench (10)
20 P. van Ooijen
15 J. Navrátil
23 K. Huisman
2 T. Breukers
3 D. Wuytens
19 V. Vermeij
22 R. Baas
24 G. Agbaljan
26 H. Zeinstra
28 M. Brouwer

Coach: J. Stegeman

VVV Venlo

4-3-3
1 L. Unnerstall G
3 J. Promes D
4 R. Janssen D
13 N. Röseler D
2 M. Rutten D
6 D. Post M
8 C. Leemans M
9 R. Seuntjens M
11 L. Thy F
19 T. Hunte F
7 V. van Crooij F
Bench (8)
25 K. Nwakali
5 L. Labylle
20 D. van Bruggen
12 J. Janse
14 T. Tissoudali
16 D. van Crooij
21 T. Antonis
31 B. Verbong

Coach: M. Steijn

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.