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Bundesliga
Referee: Bibiana Steinhaus
Schalke 04
S T T U S
2–0
Full-time
Mainz
T T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Schalke 04 Mainz
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,7
3,5
Scored
1,3
1,7
Conceded
1,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,2
This season — Bundesliga · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 44%
50%
38%
Points per game
1,6
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
38%
50%
Both score Ø 44%
38%
50%
Average goals
2,4
2,9
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,1
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

59% Possession 41%
16 Shots 5
5 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 1
0 Offside 3
18 Free kicks against 15
3 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Schalke 04 6. · Mainz 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Dortmund 8 6 1 1 +18 19
2 Bayern Munich 8 5 2 1 +14 17
3 RB Leipzig 8 5 1 2 +5 16
4 Hoffenheim 8 4 3 1 +5 15
5 M'gladbach 8 4 2 2 +0 14
6 Schalke 04 8 4 1 3 +1 13
7 Ein Frankfurt 8 4 1 3 +1 13
8 Augsburg 8 3 3 2 +3 12
9 Hannover 8 3 3 2 +2 12
10 Mainz 8 3 1 4 -3 10
11 Stuttgart 8 3 1 4 -4 10
12 Leverkusen 8 2 3 3 +2 9
13 Hertha 8 2 3 3 -2 9
14 Wolfsburg 8 1 5 2 -3 8
15 Hamburg 8 2 1 5 -8 7
16 Freiburg 8 1 4 3 -11 7
17 Werder Bremen 8 0 4 4 -6 4
18 FC Koln 8 0 1 7 -14 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Schalke 04 Mainz
1–0 L. Goretzka
G. Burgstaller
13′
Naldo 🟨
22′
Half-time 1–0
62′
🔁 V. Fischer
↦ P. De Blasis
Y. Konoplyanka 🔁
↦ F. Di Santo
68′
70′
🔁 A. Maxim
↦ G. Donati
2–0 G. Burgstaller
74′
79′
🔁 Kenan
↦ L. Balogun
F. Reese 🔁
↦ G. Burgstaller
84′
Coke 🔁
↦ A. Harit
89′
Daniel Caligiuri 🟨
90′
Coke 🟨
90′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Schalke 04

3-1-4-2
1 R. Fährmann G
29 Naldo D
24 B. Oczipka M
20 T. Kehrer D
18 D. Caligiuri M
17 B. Stambouli D
8 L. Goretzka M
7 M. Meyer M
25 A. Harit M
19 G. Burgstaller F
9 F. Di Santo F
Bench (7)
11 Y. Konoplyanka
16 F. Reese
23 Coke
2 W. McKennie
10 N. Bentaleb
28 A. Schöpf
35 A. Nübel

Coach: D. Tedesco

Mainz

3-4-2-1
1 R. Adler G
18 D. Brosinski D
3 L. Balogun D
2 G. Donati D
16 S. Bell D
4 A. Diallo D
6 D. Latza M
25 J. Gbamin M
8 L. Öztunali F
32 P. De Blasis M
9 Y. Muto F
Bench (7)
14 V. Fischer
10 A. Maxim
19 Kenan
7 R. Quaison
20 F. Frei
23 S. Serdar
27 R. Zentner

Coach: S. Schwarz

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Bibiana Steinhaus · 16 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,8 / match
Above average

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.