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Pro League
Referee: Alexandre Boucaut
Eupen
T U U S T
2–3
Full-time
Anderlecht
S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Eupen Anderlecht
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
1,0
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
4,2
4,3
Scored
2,0
2,5
Conceded
2,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,7
This season — Pro League · 12/8 matches
Win Ø 40%
17%
63%
Points per game
0,8
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 78%
92%
63%
Both score Ø 69%
75%
63%
Average goals
4,1
3,4
Scored
1,4
2,0
Conceded
2,7
1,4
Goal diff per game
-1,3
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

6 Corners 4
3 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Eupen 14. · Anderlecht 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St Truiden 12 7 2 3 +2 23
2 Club Brugge 8 7 0 1 +11 21
3 Antwerp 12 5 4 3 +3 19
4 Beveren 12 5 3 4 +9 18
5 Royal Excel Mouscron 12 5 3 4 -1 18
6 Anderlecht 8 5 2 1 +5 17
7 Waregem 12 5 1 6 +1 16
8 Charleroi 8 4 3 1 +3 15
9 Lokeren 12 4 3 5 -1 15
10 Standard 8 3 3 2 +0 12
11 Gent 9 3 2 4 +3 11
12 Genk 7 2 4 1 +2 10
13 Kortrijk 12 2 4 6 -7 10
14 Eupen 12 2 3 7 -15 9
15 Oostende 12 2 2 8 -7 8
16 Mechelen 12 1 5 6 -8 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Eupen Anderlecht
30′
M. Leye 1–0
own goal
32′
M. Wagué 2–0
own goal
40′
S. Hanni 2–1
D. Appiah
Half-time 2–1
B. Niasse 🔁
↦ H. Van Crombrugge
46′
Marc Valiente 🟨
49′
3–1 Luis García
Akram Afif
61′
J. Amani 🔁
↦ Marc Valiente
62′
Abdelkarim Hassan 🟨
68′
75′
🔁 A. Chipciu
↦ S. Hanni
N. Verdier 🔁
↦ M. Tirpan
83′
87′
🔁 I. Obradović
↦ H. Onyekuru
Mbaye Leye 🟨
88′
4–1 E. Ocansey
Abdelkarim Hassan
90′
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

Eupen

1 H. Van Crombrugge G
22 S. Blondelle D
44 Marc Valiente D
4 J. Lotiès D
3 Abdelkarim Hassan M
23 M. Tirpan D
15 M. Wagué D
10 Luis García F
9 M. Leye F
11 Akram Afif M
28 E. Ocansey F
Bench (7)
30 B. Niasse
8 J. Amani
99 N. Verdier
18 N. Schouterden
5 D. Diagné
25 G. Jamabo
14 A. Castro-Montes

Coach: Jordi Condom

Anderlecht

1 M. Sels G
3 O. Deschacht D
12 D. Appiah D
2 Josué Sá D
20 S. Kums M
94 S. Hanni M
25 A. Trebel M
8 P. Gerkens M
32 L. Dendoncker M
91 Ł. Teodorczyk F
9 H. Onyekuru F
Bench (7)
11 A. Chipciu
37 I. Obradović
17 M. Bruno
36 R. Berič
23 F. Boeckx
10 N. Stanciu
99 H. Harbaoui

Coach: H. Vanhaezebrouck

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Alexandre Boucaut · 68 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
15,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,34 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.