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La Liga
Referee: David Medie Jimenez
Sevilla
S T S T T
2–1
Full-time
Leganes
U S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sevilla Leganes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 9%
17%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
1,8
1,0
Scored
0,7
0,8
Conceded
1,2
0,2
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,7
This season — La Liga · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 56%
56%
56%
Points per game
1,8
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
22%
11%
Both score Ø 11%
11%
11%
Average goals
1,9
1,2
Scored
1,0
0,9
Conceded
0,9
0,3
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

61% Possession 39%
9 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 1
1 Blocked shots 4
0 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 6
4 Offside 0
16 Free kicks against 19
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sevilla 8. · Leganes 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 10 9 1 0 +25 28
2 Valencia 10 7 3 0 +16 24
3 Real Madrid 9 6 2 1 +11 20
4 Ath Madrid 10 5 5 0 +9 20
5 Villarreal 10 5 2 3 +5 17
6 Leganes 9 5 2 2 +5 17
7 Betis 9 5 1 3 +2 16
8 Sevilla 9 5 1 3 +1 16
9 Sociedad 9 4 2 3 +2 14
10 Celta 9 3 2 4 +4 11
11 Ath Bilbao 10 3 2 5 -2 11
12 Levante 9 2 5 2 -2 11
13 Espanol 9 2 4 3 -4 10
14 Getafe 9 2 3 4 +1 9
15 Girona 9 2 3 4 -5 9
16 La Coruna 9 2 2 5 -8 8
17 Eibar 9 2 1 6 -17 7
18 Las Palmas 9 2 0 7 -15 6
19 Alaves 10 1 0 9 -12 3
20 Malaga 9 0 1 8 -16 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sevilla Leganes
1–0 W. Ben Yedder
Pablo Sarabia
20′
30′
🟨 Rubén Pérez
Nolito 🔁
↦ J. Correa
42′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 N. El Zhar
↦ N. Amrabat
48′
A. Szymanowski 1–1
2–1 Pablo Sarabia
54′
59′
🔁 D. Brašanac
↦ Rubén Pérez
É. Banega 🔁
↦ M. Krohn-Dehli
63′
67′
🟨 Gabriel Pires
Jesús Navas 🔁
↦ S. Corchia
78′
81′
🔁 José Naranjo
↦ Gabriel
84′
🟨 José Naranjo
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Sevilla

4-3-3
13 David Soria G
4 S. Kjær D
18 Sergio Escudero D
2 S. Corchia D
5 C. Lenglet D
7 M. Krohn-Dehli M
15 S. N'Zonzi M
17 Pablo Sarabia M
14 G. Pizarro M
11 J. Correa M
9 W. Ben Yedder F
Bench (7)
24 Nolito
10 É. Banega
16 Jesús Navas
1 Sergio Rico
19 Ganso
20 L. Muriel
22 F. Vázquez

Coach: E. Berizzo

Leganes

4-4-1-1
1 Pichu Cuéllar G
22 D. Siovas D
16 M. Dos Santos D
20 Joseba Zaldúa D
14 Raúl García D
21 Rubén Pérez M
17 Eraso M
8 Gabriel M
11 A. Szymanowski M
25 N. Amrabat M
12 C. Beauvue F
Bench (7)
10 N. El Zhar
24 D. Brašanac
18 José Naranjo
3 Bustinza
6 Gerard Gumbau
13 N. Champagne
15 Diego Rico

Coach: Asier Garitano

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

David Medie Jimenez · 33 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.