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Primeira Liga

Referee: Hugo Miguel

Boavista

T S U S S

0–3

Full-time

Porto

S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Boavista Porto

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 75%

67%

83%

Points per game

2,2

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

1,8

3,5

Scored

1,3

2,8

Conceded

0,5

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+2,2

This season — Primeira Liga · 9/9 matches

Win Ø 67%

44%

89%

Points per game

1,4

2,8

Over 2.5 Ø 56%

44%

67%

Both score Ø 39%

44%

33%

Average goals

2,0

3,2

Scored

1,1

2,8

Conceded

0,9

0,4

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+2,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

46% Possession 54%

6 Shots 12

1 Shots on target 5

1 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

7 Corners 5

2 Offside 3

20 Free kicks against 16

6 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Boavista 8. · Porto 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	10	8	2	0	+17	26
2	Porto	9	8	1	0	+21	25
3	Benfica	10	7	2	1	+13	23
4	Maritimo	10	6	1	3	+3	19
5	Sp Braga	9	6	0	3	+7	18
6	Belenenses	10	5	1	4	+0	16
7	Rio Ave	10	4	2	4	+1	14
8	Boavista	9	4	1	4	+2	13
9	Feirense	10	3	2	5	-3	11
10	Guimaraes	9	3	2	4	-7	11
11	Vitoria Setubal	9	2	4	3	+1	10
12	Tondela	10	2	3	5	-2	9
13	Pacos Ferreira	9	2	3	4	-7	9
14	Portimonense	9	2	2	5	-6	8
15	Chaves	9	2	2	5	-6	8
16	Aves	9	1	3	5	-7	6
17	Moreirense	10	1	3	6	-12	6
18	Estoril	9	2	0	7	-15	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Maritimo	6	5	1	0	+6	16
2	Porto	5	5	0	0	+18	15
3	Benfica	5	5	0	0	+11	15
4	Sp Lisbon	5	4	1	0	+8	13
5	Belenenses	5	4	1	0	+6	13
6	Rio Ave	6	3	1	2	+2	10
7	Guimaraes	5	3	1	1	-2	10
8	Sp Braga	4	3	0	1	+7	9
9	Vitoria Setubal	5	2	3	0	+4	9
10	Boavista	4	3	0	1	+2	9
11	Pacos Ferreira	4	2	2	0	+2	8
12	Portimonense	4	2	1	1	+1	7
13	Feirense	5	2	1	2	-2	7
14	Chaves	4	1	1	2	+0	4
15	Tondela	5	1	1	3	-1	4
16	Aves	5	1	1	3	-5	4
17	Estoril	4	1	0	3	-4	3
18	Moreirense	4	0	2	2	-4	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	5	4	1	0	+9	13
2	Porto	4	3	1	0	+3	10
3	Sp Braga	5	3	0	2	+0	9
4	Benfica	5	2	2	1	+2	8
5	Tondela	5	1	2	2	-1	5
6	Boavista	5	1	1	3	+0	4
7	Feirense	5	1	1	3	-1	4
8	Rio Ave	4	1	1	2	-1	4
9	Chaves	5	1	1	3	-6	4
10	Moreirense	6	1	1	4	-8	4
11	Maritimo	4	1	0	3	-3	3
12	Belenenses	5	1	0	4	-6	3
13	Estoril	5	1	0	4	-11	3
14	Aves	4	0	2	2	-2	2
15	Vitoria Setubal	4	0	1	3	-3	1
16	Guimaraes	4	0	1	3	-5	1
17	Portimonense	5	0	1	4	-7	1
18	Pacos Ferreira	5	0	1	4	-9	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.