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Eredivisie

Referee: Dennis Higler

Willem II

S T T S S

1–3

Full-time

Ajax

U T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Willem II Ajax

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,5

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 83%

83%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,2

3,5

Scored

1,5

2,8

Conceded

1,7

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+2,2

This season — Eredivisie · 9/9 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,0

2,1

Over 2.5 Ø 78%

78%

Both score Ø 56%

56%

Average goals

3,2

3,3

Scored

1,1

2,6

Conceded

2,1

0,8

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+1,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

35% Possession 65%

10 Shots 24

4 Shots on target 6

3 Blocked shots 11

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

7 Corners 10

5 Offside 1

11 Free kicks against 13

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Willem II 15. · Ajax 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	9	8	0	1	+21	24
2	Ajax	9	6	1	2	+16	19
3	Zwolle	9	5	3	1	+5	18
4	Vitesse	8	5	2	1	+12	17
5	Feyenoord	10	5	2	3	+7	17
6	AZ Alkmaar	9	5	1	3	+2	16
7	Excelsior	10	4	2	4	-1	14
8	Heerenveen	8	4	2	2	-3	14
9	Den Haag	9	4	1	4	-2	13
10	Heracles	10	3	3	4	-2	12
11	VVV Venlo	10	3	3	4	-4	12
12	Twente	10	3	0	7	-2	9
13	Groningen	9	2	3	4	-3	9
14	Utrecht	7	3	0	4	-7	9
15	Willem II	9	3	0	6	-9	9
16	NAC Breda	9	2	1	6	-8	7
17	Roda	10	2	1	7	-12	7
18	Sparta Rotterdam	9	1	3	5	-10	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	5	5	0	0	+11	15
2	Zwolle	4	4	0	0	+6	12
3	Heracles	6	3	2	1	+3	11
4	Ajax	4	3	0	1	+8	9
5	Twente	5	3	0	2	+5	9
6	Groningen	6	2	3	1	+1	9
7	AZ Alkmaar	5	3	0	2	+0	9
8	Feyenoord	5	2	1	2	+1	7
9	Utrecht	3	2	0	1	-2	6
10	Vitesse	3	1	1	1	+2	4
11	Sparta Rotterdam	4	1	1	2	-2	4
12	Roda	4	1	1	2	-3	4
13	VVV Venlo	5	1	1	3	-4	4
14	Den Haag	5	1	1	3	-4	4
15	NAC Breda	5	1	1	3	-5	4
16	Heerenveen	4	1	1	2	-6	4
17	Willem II	4	1	0	3	-1	3
18	Excelsior	5	0	1	4	-7	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Vitesse	5	4	1	0	+10	13
2	Excelsior	5	4	1	0	+6	13
3	Ajax	5	3	1	1	+8	10
4	Feyenoord	5	3	1	1	+6	10
5	Heerenveen	4	3	1	0	+3	10
6	PSV Eindhoven	4	3	0	1	+10	9
7	Den Haag	4	3	0	1	+2	9
8	VVV Venlo	5	2	2	1	+0	8
9	AZ Alkmaar	4	2	1	1	+2	7
10	Zwolle	5	1	3	1	-1	6
11	Willem II	5	2	0	3	-8	6
12	NAC Breda	4	1	0	3	-3	3
13	Utrecht	4	1	0	3	-5	3
14	Roda	6	1	0	5	-9	3
15	Sparta Rotterdam	5	0	2	3	-8	2
16	Heracles	4	0	1	3	-5	1
17	Groningen	3	0	0	3	-4	0
18	Twente	5	0	0	5	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.