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Bundesliga
Referee: Felix Brych
Wolfsburg
T T S U T
1–1
Full-time
Werder Bremen
T T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Wolfsburg Werder Bremen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
0,8
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,0
3,8
Scored
0,7
1,3
Conceded
1,3
2,5
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-1,2
This season — Bundesliga · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 13%
25%
0%
Points per game
1,0
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
25%
25%
Both score Ø 38%
25%
50%
Average goals
1,8
2,0
Scored
0,5
0,5
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

62% Possession 38%
13 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 4
0 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 4
2 Offside 3
10 Free kicks against 18
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Wolfsburg 14. · Werder Bremen 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Dortmund 4 3 1 0 +10 10
2 Hannover 4 3 1 0 +4 10
3 Bayern Munich 4 3 0 1 +6 9
4 Schalke 04 4 3 0 1 +4 9
5 Hoffenheim 4 2 2 0 +3 8
6 M'gladbach 5 2 2 1 +2 8
7 RB Leipzig 4 2 1 1 +3 7
8 Augsburg 4 2 1 1 +3 7
9 Hamburg 4 2 0 2 -1 6
10 Stuttgart 5 2 0 3 -4 6
11 Hertha 4 1 2 1 +0 5
12 Leverkusen 4 1 1 2 +0 4
13 Ein Frankfurt 4 1 1 2 -1 4
14 Wolfsburg 4 1 1 2 -3 4
15 Mainz 4 1 0 3 -4 3
16 Freiburg 4 0 2 2 -7 2
17 Werder Bremen 4 0 1 3 -4 1
18 FC Koln 4 0 0 4 -11 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Wolfsburg Werder Bremen
1–0 D. Origi
P. Ntep
28′
43′
🟨 Jérôme Gondorf
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 I. Belfodil
↦ M. Eggestein
46′
🔁 P. Bargfrede
↦ J. Gondorf
50′
🟨 Florian Kainz
56′
F. Bartels 1–1
Ignacio Camacho 🟨
61′
J. Guilavogui 🔁
↦ Ignacio Camacho
70′
L. Dimata 🔁
↦ P. Ntep
78′
William 🔁
↦ D. Didavi
88′
90′
🔁 I. Hajrović
↦ F. Bartels
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Wolfsburg

4-2-3-1
1 K. Casteels G
3 P. Verhaegh D
31 R. Knoche D
13 Y. Gerhardt M
17 F. Uduokhai D
4 Ignacio Camacho M
11 D. Didavi M
10 Y. Mallı M
7 P. Ntep M
27 M. Arnold M
14 D. Origi F
Bench (7)
23 J. Guilavogui
9 L. Dimata
2 William
18 V. Osimhen
20 M. Grün
29 M. Tisserand
35 G. Itter

Coach: M. Schmidt

Werder Bremen

3-1-4-2
1 J. Pavlenka G
23 T. Gebre Selassie D
3 L. Caldirola D
5 L. Augustinsson D
4 R. Bauer D
22 F. Bartels F
6 T. Delaney M
8 J. Gondorf M
7 F. Kainz F
13 M. Veljkovic D
35 M. Eggestein M
Bench (7)
29 I. Belfodil
44 P. Bargfrede
15 I. Hajrović
20 U. Garcia
24 J. Eggestein
28 J. Verlaat
30 M. Zetterer

Coach: A. Nouri

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Felix Brych · 71 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.