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Championship
Referee: Darren Bond
Sunderland
T T U U U
1–2
Full-time
Bristol City
U S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sunderland Bristol City
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
100%
33%
Average goals
4,0
2,3
Scored
1,7
1,5
Conceded
2,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,7
This season — Championship · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 23%
8%
38%
Points per game
0,7
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
54%
54%
Both score Ø 66%
77%
54%
Average goals
3,2
2,6
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
1,9
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

52% Possession 48%
13 Shots 13
4 Shots on target 4
5 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 5
2 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sunderland 23. · Bristol City 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sheffield United 14 10 0 4 +8 30
2 Wolves 13 9 2 2 +11 29
3 Cardiff 13 8 3 2 +8 27
4 Leeds 14 7 2 5 +8 23
5 Norwich 13 6 4 3 -1 22
6 Bristol City 13 5 6 2 +6 21
7 Preston 13 5 6 2 +6 21
8 Derby 12 5 4 3 +4 19
9 Aston Villa 11 5 3 3 +5 18
10 Fulham 12 4 6 2 +4 18
11 Ipswich 12 6 0 6 +2 18
12 Nott'm Forest 13 6 0 7 -4 18
13 Sheffield Weds 14 4 5 5 +0 17
14 Hull 13 4 4 5 +4 16
15 Middlesbrough 12 4 4 4 +3 16
16 Millwall 13 4 4 5 +2 16
17 QPR 13 3 6 4 -1 15
18 Brentford 13 2 7 4 -1 13
19 Barnsley 13 3 4 6 -3 13
20 Reading 12 3 3 6 -3 12
21 Birmingham 13 3 2 8 -13 11
22 Burton Albion 13 2 4 7 -19 10
23 Sunderland 13 1 6 6 -9 9
24 Bolton 13 1 3 9 -17 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sunderland Bristol City
Didier N'Dong 🟨
27′
28′
B. Reid 0–1
C. O'Dowda
36′
🔁 E. Pisano
↦ N. Baker
Half-time 1–1
1–1 L. Grabban
D. Watmore
48′
55′
🔁 M. Đurić
↦ J. Paterson
Billy Jones 🟨
64′
64′
🔁 K. Smith
↦ M. Taylor
C. McManaman 🔁
↦ J. Williams
67′
73′
🟨 Milan Đurić
73′
M. Đurić 1–2
C. O'Dowda
P. McNair 🔁
↦ D. Gibson
79′
J. Vaughan 🔁
↦ D. Watmore
79′
83′
🟨 Bobby Reid
86′
🟨 Marlon Pack
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Sunderland

4-2-3-1
1 J. Steele G
16 J. O'Shea D
2 B. Jones D
23 L. Koné D
3 B. Oviedo D
19 A. McGeady M
24 D. Gibson M
7 J. Williams
14 D. Watmore F
17 D. Ndong M
11 L. Grabban F
Bench (7)
13 C. McManaman
4 P. McNair
9 J. Vaughan
6 L. Cattermole
21 A. Matthews
25 R. Ruiter
26 G. Honeyman

Coach: S. Grayson

Bristol City

4-4-2
1 F. Fielding G
4 A. Flint D
6 N. Baker D
5 B. Wright D
3 J. Bryan D
21 M. Pack M
14 B. Reid F
11 C. O'Dowda M
8 J. Brownhill M
10 M. Taylor F
20 J. Paterson M
Bench (7)
2 E. Pisano
22 M. Đurić
7 K. Smith
15 L. Steele
18 C. Woodrow
23 H. Magnússon
45 J. Leko

Coach: L. Johnson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Darren Bond · 99 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
20,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.