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Primeira Liga
Referee: Joao Pedro Pinheiro
Belenenses
T S S S T
3–0
Full-time
Moreirense
S T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Belenenses Moreirense
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,7
2,7
Scored
1,5
0,8
Conceded
1,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-1,0
This season — Primeira Liga · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 28%
44%
11%
Points per game
1,4
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
44%
44%
Both score Ø 39%
44%
33%
Average goals
2,6
2,3
Scored
1,1
0,7
Conceded
1,4
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

47% Possession 53%
10 Shots 15
4 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 0
3 Corners 6
1 Offside 0
18 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Belenenses 8. · Moreirense 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sp Lisbon 10 8 2 0 +17 26
2 Porto 9 8 1 0 +21 25
3 Benfica 10 7 2 1 +13 23
4 Maritimo 10 6 1 3 +3 19
5 Sp Braga 9 6 0 3 +7 18
6 Rio Ave 10 4 2 4 +1 14
7 Boavista 9 4 1 4 +2 13
8 Belenenses 9 4 1 4 -3 13
9 Feirense 10 3 2 5 -3 11
10 Guimaraes 9 3 2 4 -7 11
11 Vitoria Setubal 9 2 4 3 +1 10
12 Tondela 10 2 3 5 -2 9
13 Pacos Ferreira 9 2 3 4 -7 9
14 Portimonense 9 2 2 5 -6 8
15 Chaves 9 2 2 5 -6 8
16 Aves 9 1 3 5 -7 6
17 Moreirense 9 1 3 5 -9 6
18 Estoril 9 2 0 7 -15 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Belenenses Moreirense
1–0 B. Saré
H. Yebda
21′
Filipe Chaby 🟨
44′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 J. Cádiz
↦ Neto
2–0 H. Yebda
Filipe Chaby
51′
58′
🔁 E. Ohemeng
↦ B. Aouacheria
Miguel Rosa 🔁
↦ Diogo Viana
62′
63′
🟨 Pierre Sagna
67′
🔁 K. Kouao
↦ P. Sagna
Benny 🔁
↦ Filipe Chaby
73′
Roni 🔁
↦ H. Yebda
78′
Roni 🟨
79′
3–0 Roni
Benny
88′
André Sousa 🟨
90′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Belenenses

4-2-3-1
1 Muriel G
29 F. Hanin D
37 Gonçalo Silva D
18 Geraldes D
25 Nuno Tomás D
23 H. Yebda M
99 B. Saré M
94 Filipe Chaby M
8 André Sousa M
10 Diogo Viana M
16 Maurides F
Bench (7)
7 Miguel Rosa
21 Benny
80 Roni
9 Tiago Caeiro
11 J. Hernández
77 Filipe Mendes
93 Cleylton

Coach: Domingos Paciência

Moreirense

4-2-3-1
18 Jhonatan G
5 Ruben Lima D
95 P. Sagna D
4 Iago Santos D
6 M. Aberhoune D
23 Rafael Costa M
91 Neto M
10 B. Aouacheria M
57 Bruno Ramires M
40 Zizo M
20 Tozé M
Bench (7)
88 J. Cádiz
11 E. Ohemeng
22 K. Kouao
8 Alan Schons
26 H. Belkaroui
50 Felipe
77 Arsénio

Coach: Manuel Machado

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Joao Pedro Pinheiro · 221 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
28,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.