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Bundesliga

Referee: Harm Osmers

Hoffenheim

S S T U U

1–3

Full-time

M'gladbach

S T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hoffenheim M'gladbach

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,5

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

3,3

4,0

Scored

1,8

1,7

Conceded

1,5

2,3

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,7

This season — Bundesliga · 9/9 matches

Win Ø 44%

44%

Points per game

1,8

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

44%

56%

Both score Ø 62%

67%

56%

Average goals

3,0

3,3

Scored

1,8

1,4

Conceded

1,2

1,9

Goal diff per game

+0,6

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

54% Possession 46%

16 Shots 16

5 Shots on target 6

3 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 4

5 Corners 5

1 Offside 2

16 Free kicks against 13

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hoffenheim 4. · M'gladbach 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dortmund	9	6	2	1	+18	20
2	Bayern Munich	9	6	2	1	+15	20
3	RB Leipzig	9	6	1	2	+6	19
4	Hoffenheim	9	4	4	1	+5	16
5	Schalke 04	9	5	1	3	+3	16
6	Hannover	9	4	3	2	+3	15
7	Ein Frankfurt	10	4	3	3	+1	15
8	M'gladbach	9	4	2	3	-4	14
9	Leverkusen	9	3	3	3	+6	12
10	Augsburg	9	3	3	3	+2	12
11	Mainz	10	3	2	5	-5	11
12	Hertha	9	2	4	3	-2	10
13	Stuttgart	9	3	1	5	-5	10
14	Wolfsburg	9	1	6	2	-3	9
15	Freiburg	9	1	5	3	-11	8
16	Hamburg	9	2	1	6	-9	7
17	Werder Bremen	9	0	5	4	-6	5
18	FC Koln	9	0	2	7	-14	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hoffenheim	5	3	2	0	+5	11
2	Bayern Munich	4	3	1	0	+11	10
3	RB Leipzig	4	3	1	0	+5	10
4	Schalke 04	5	3	1	1	+3	10
5	Stuttgart	4	3	1	0	+3	10
6	Mainz	6	3	1	2	+2	10
7	Dortmund	4	3	0	1	+11	9
8	M'gladbach	5	3	0	2	-1	9
9	Leverkusen	4	2	2	0	+7	8
10	Hertha	5	2	2	1	+1	8
11	Augsburg	5	2	1	2	+2	7
12	Hannover	4	2	1	1	+2	7
13	Freiburg	5	1	4	0	+1	7
14	Ein Frankfurt	4	1	1	2	-1	4
15	Wolfsburg	5	0	4	1	-3	4
16	Hamburg	5	1	1	3	-5	4
17	FC Koln	4	0	1	3	-4	1
18	Werder Bremen	4	0	1	3	-5	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dortmund	5	3	2	0	+7	11
2	Ein Frankfurt	6	3	2	1	+2	11
3	Bayern Munich	5	3	1	1	+4	10
4	RB Leipzig	5	3	0	2	+1	9
5	Hannover	5	2	2	1	+1	8
6	Schalke 04	4	2	0	2	+0	6
7	Hoffenheim	4	1	2	1	+0	5
8	Wolfsburg	4	1	2	1	+0	5
9	Augsburg	4	1	2	1	+0	5
10	M'gladbach	4	1	2	1	-3	5
11	Leverkusen	5	1	1	3	-1	4
12	Werder Bremen	5	0	4	1	-1	4
13	Hamburg	4	1	0	3	-4	3
14	Hertha	4	0	2	2	-3	2
15	Mainz	4	0	1	3	-7	1
16	FC Koln	5	0	1	4	-10	1
17	Freiburg	4	0	1	3	-12	1
18	Stuttgart	5	0	0	5	-8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.