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Bundesliga

Referee: Guido Winkmann

Freiburg

T U U S T

1–1

Full-time

Hertha

U S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Freiburg Hertha

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,7

2,3

Scored

0,7

1,0

Conceded

2,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

-1,3

-0,3

This season — Bundesliga · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 19%

13%

25%

Points per game

0,9

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 38%

50%

25%

Both score Ø 44%

38%

50%

Average goals

2,6

2,3

Scored

0,6

1,0

Conceded

2,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

-1,4

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

57% Possession 43%

20 Shots 12

8 Shots on target 3

6 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 7

6 Corners 1

2 Offside 1

21 Free kicks against 15

4 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Freiburg 16. · Hertha 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dortmund	9	6	2	1	+18	20
2	Bayern Munich	9	6	2	1	+15	20
3	RB Leipzig	9	6	1	2	+6	19
4	Schalke 04	9	5	1	3	+3	16
5	Hoffenheim	8	4	3	1	+5	15
6	Hannover	9	4	3	2	+3	15
7	Ein Frankfurt	9	4	2	3	+1	14
8	M'gladbach	9	4	2	3	-4	14
9	Leverkusen	9	3	3	3	+6	12
10	Augsburg	9	3	3	3	+2	12
11	Mainz	9	3	1	5	-5	10
12	Stuttgart	9	3	1	5	-5	10
13	Hertha	8	2	3	3	-2	9
14	Wolfsburg	8	1	5	2	-3	8
15	Hamburg	9	2	1	6	-9	7
16	Freiburg	8	1	4	3	-11	7
17	Werder Bremen	9	0	5	4	-6	5
18	FC Koln	9	0	2	7	-14	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hoffenheim	5	3	2	0	+5	11
2	Bayern Munich	4	3	1	0	+11	10
3	RB Leipzig	4	3	1	0	+5	10
4	Schalke 04	5	3	1	1	+3	10
5	Stuttgart	4	3	1	0	+3	10
6	Dortmund	4	3	0	1	+11	9
7	Mainz	5	3	0	2	+2	9
8	M'gladbach	5	3	0	2	-1	9
9	Leverkusen	4	2	2	0	+7	8
10	Hertha	5	2	2	1	+1	8
11	Augsburg	5	2	1	2	+2	7
12	Hannover	4	2	1	1	+2	7
13	Freiburg	4	1	3	0	+1	6
14	Ein Frankfurt	4	1	1	2	-1	4
15	Hamburg	5	1	1	3	-5	4
16	Wolfsburg	4	0	3	1	-3	3
17	FC Koln	4	0	1	3	-4	1
18	Werder Bremen	4	0	1	3	-5	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dortmund	5	3	2	0	+7	11
2	Bayern Munich	5	3	1	1	+4	10
3	Ein Frankfurt	5	3	1	1	+2	10
4	RB Leipzig	5	3	0	2	+1	9
5	Hannover	5	2	2	1	+1	8
6	Schalke 04	4	2	0	2	+0	6
7	Wolfsburg	4	1	2	1	+0	5
8	Augsburg	4	1	2	1	+0	5
9	M'gladbach	4	1	2	1	-3	5
10	Hoffenheim	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	Leverkusen	5	1	1	3	-1	4
12	Werder Bremen	5	0	4	1	-1	4
13	Hamburg	4	1	0	3	-4	3
14	Hertha	3	0	1	2	-3	1
15	Mainz	4	0	1	3	-7	1
16	FC Koln	5	0	1	4	-10	1
17	Freiburg	4	0	1	3	-12	1
18	Stuttgart	5	0	0	5	-8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.