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Bundesliga
Referee: Tobias Stieler
Freiburg
T U T U T
1–1
Full-time
Hannover
T S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Freiburg Hannover
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,5
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,7
1,8
Scored
0,5
1,2
Conceded
2,2
0,7
Goal diff per game
-1,7
+0,5
This season — Bundesliga · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 38%
0%
75%
Points per game
0,5
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
50%
0%
Both score Ø 25%
25%
25%
Average goals
2,3
1,5
Scored
0,3
1,3
Conceded
2,0
0,3
Goal diff per game
-1,8
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

50% Possession 50%
22 Shots 14
5 Shots on target 3
6 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 3
3 Offside 1
17 Free kicks against 19
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Freiburg 17. · Hannover 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 5 4 0 1 +9 12
2 Dortmund 4 3 1 0 +10 10
3 Augsburg 5 3 1 1 +4 10
4 Hannover 4 3 1 0 +4 10
5 Schalke 04 5 3 0 2 +1 9
6 Hoffenheim 4 2 2 0 +3 8
7 M'gladbach 5 2 2 1 +2 8
8 RB Leipzig 5 2 1 2 +2 7
9 Ein Frankfurt 5 2 1 2 +0 7
10 Hamburg 4 2 0 2 -1 6
11 Stuttgart 5 2 0 3 -4 6
12 Hertha 4 1 2 1 +0 5
13 Wolfsburg 5 1 2 2 -3 5
14 Leverkusen 4 1 1 2 +0 4
15 Mainz 4 1 0 3 -4 3
16 Werder Bremen 5 0 2 3 -4 2
17 Freiburg 4 0 2 2 -7 2
18 FC Koln 5 0 0 5 -12 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Freiburg Hannover
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 I. Bebou
↦ F. Hübner
56′
🟨 Pirmin Schwegler
60′
🟨 Matthias Ostrzolek
62′
🔁 M. Schmiedebach
↦ P. Schwegler
65′
M. Harnik 0–1
N. Füllkrug
68′
🟨 Felix Klaus
R. Kent 🔁
↦ J. Haberer
74′
N. Petersen 🔁
↦ M. Frantz
74′
79′
🟨 Salif Sané
1–1 N. Petersen
N. Höfler
83′
84′
🔁 K. Karaman
↦ N. Füllkrug
F. Kath 🔁
↦ M. Terrazzino
87′
Pascal Stenzel 🟨
90′
Ryan Kent 🟨
90′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Freiburg

3-4-2-1
1 A. Schwolow G
30 C. Günter D
3 P. Lienhart D
15 P. Stenzel D
4 C. Söyüncü D
23 J. Schuster D
8 M. Frantz M
27 N. Höfler M
19 J. Haberer M
13 M. Terrazzino M
7 F. Niederlechner F
Bench (7)
14 R. Kent
18 N. Petersen
38 F. Kath
17 L. Kübler
25 R. Koch
34 T. Kleindienst
44 R. Gikiewicz

Coach: C. Streich

Hannover

4-3-3
1 P. Tschauner G
19 F. Hübner D
22 M. Ostrzolek M
4 J. Korb M
31 W. Anton D
27 P. Schwegler M
6 M. Bakalorz M
11 F. Klaus M
20 S. Sané D
14 M. Harnik F
24 N. Füllkrug F
Bench (7)
13 I. Bebou
8 M. Schmiedebach
26 K. Karaman
10 S. Maier
23 M. Esser
25 O. Sorg
35 C. Benschop

Coach: A. Breitenreiter

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Tobias Stieler · 91 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.