Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Levanger
Floro
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Bodo/Glimt
|
28 | 20 | 5 | 3 | +39 | 65 |
| 2 |
Start
|
28 | 16 | 7 | 5 | +23 | 55 |
| 3 |
Sandnes ULF
|
27 | 13 | 9 | 5 | +10 | 48 |
| 4 |
Ull/Kisa
|
27 | 14 | 3 | 10 | +8 | 45 |
| 5 |
Ranheim
|
25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | +9 | 43 |
| 6 |
Mjondalen
|
25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | +10 | 40 |
| 7 |
Levanger
|
27 | 9 | 11 | 7 | +3 | 38 |
| 8 |
Floro
|
27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | -1 | 34 |
| 9 |
Strommen
|
28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | -7 | 33 |
| 10 |
Jerv
|
28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | -11 | 32 |
| 11 |
Tromsdalen Uil
|
28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | -6 | 31 |
| 12 |
Kongsvinger
|
27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | -2 | 30 |
| 13 |
Asane
|
28 | 6 | 12 | 10 | -13 | 30 |
| 14 |
Fredrikstad
|
27 | 4 | 11 | 12 | -16 | 23 |
| 15 |
Elverum
|
28 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -20 | 21 |
| 16 |
Arendal
|
28 | 5 | 6 | 17 | -26 | 21 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Bodo/Glimt
Levanger
Levanger
Tromsdalen Uil
Start
Levanger
Levanger
Kongsvinger
Sandnes ULF
Levanger
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.