Serie A
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Atalanta
Bologna
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Napoli
|
9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | +21 | 25 |
| 2 |
Inter
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | +12 | 23 |
| 3 |
Juventus
|
8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +14 | 19 |
| 4 |
Lazio
|
8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +11 | 19 |
| 5 |
Sampdoria
|
8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +7 | 17 |
| 6 |
Roma
|
7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | +9 | 15 |
| 7 |
Chievo
|
9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 15 |
| 8 |
Bologna
|
8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +0 | 14 |
| 9 |
Torino
|
8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | +1 | 13 |
| 10 |
Milan
|
8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | -1 | 12 |
| 11 |
Fiorentina
|
8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | +1 | 10 |
| 12 |
Atalanta
|
8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | +0 | 9 |
| 13 |
Udinese
|
8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | -2 | 6 |
| 14 |
Cagliari
|
8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | -8 | 6 |
| 15 |
Crotone
|
9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -13 | 6 |
| 16 |
Verona
|
9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -13 | 6 |
| 17 |
Genoa
|
8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 5 |
| 18 |
Spal
|
8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -7 | 5 |
| 19 |
Sassuolo
|
8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -11 | 5 |
| 20 |
Benevento
|
8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | -17 | 0 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
E. Berisha
G
L. Spinazzola
M
T. Castagne
M
M. de Roon
M
R. Freuler
M
B. Cristante
M
A. Petagna
F
Coach: G. Gasperini
F. Helander
D
S. Verdi
F
F. Di Francesco
F
Coach: R. Donadoni
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Sampdoria
Atalanta
Atalanta
Juventus
Fiorentina
Atalanta
Atalanta
Crotone
Chievo
Atalanta
Fabio Maresca · 57 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,42 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.