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Serie A
Referee: Daniele Doveri
Udinese
T T T S T
2–6
Full-time
Juventus
S S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Udinese Juventus
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,0
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,3
3,2
Scored
1,7
2,3
Conceded
1,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,5
This season — Serie A · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 50%
25%
75%
Points per game
0,8
2,4
Over 2.5 Ø 88%
88%
88%
Both score Ø 63%
75%
50%
Average goals
3,5
3,5
Scored
1,6
2,6
Conceded
1,9
0,9
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+1,8
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

56% Possession 44%
12 Shots 13
4 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 3
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
1 Corners 6
0 Offside 1
19 Free kicks against 9
6 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Udinese 14. · Juventus 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Napoli 9 8 1 0 +21 25
2 Inter 9 7 2 0 +12 23
3 Juventus 8 6 1 1 +14 19
4 Lazio 8 6 1 1 +11 19
5 Roma 8 6 0 2 +10 18
6 Sampdoria 8 5 2 1 +7 17
7 Chievo 9 4 3 2 +1 15
8 Bologna 9 4 2 3 -1 14
9 Fiorentina 9 4 1 4 +4 13
10 Torino 9 3 4 2 +0 13
11 Milan 9 4 1 4 -1 13
12 Atalanta 9 3 3 3 +1 12
13 Sassuolo 9 2 2 5 -10 8
14 Udinese 8 2 0 6 -2 6
15 Genoa 9 1 3 5 -5 6
16 Cagliari 8 2 0 6 -8 6
17 Crotone 9 1 3 5 -13 6
18 Verona 9 1 3 5 -13 6
19 Spal 9 1 2 6 -8 5
20 Benevento 9 0 0 9 -20 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Udinese Juventus
1–0 S. Perica
8′
14′
Samir 2–0
own goal
20′
S. Khedira 2–1
J. Cuadrado
Ali Adnan 🟨
26′
26′
🟨 Mario Mandžukić
26′
🟨 Mario Mandžukić
26′
🟥 Mario Mandžukić
Samir 🟨
32′
Half-time 3–1
3–1 Danilo
R. de Paul
47′
Stipe Perica 🟨
51′
52′
D. Rugani 3–2
P. Dybala
Danilo 🟨
55′
Emil Hallfreðsson 🟨
58′
59′
S. Khedira 3–3
D. Rugani
61′
🟨 Juan Cuadrado
G. Pezzella 🔁
↦ Samir
67′
68′
🔁 Douglas Costa
↦ P. Dybala
J. Larsen 🔁
↦ Ali Adnan
72′
79′
🔁 A. Barzagli
↦ J. Cuadrado
R. Bajić 🔁
↦ S. Perica
82′
Seko Fofana 🟨
83′
87′
S. Khedira 3–4
G. Higuaín
89′
🔁 F. Bernardeschi
↦ S. Lichtsteiner
90′
M. Pjanić 3–5
Alex Sandro
Full-time 3–5

Line-ups

Udinese

4-4-1-1
1 A. Bizzarri G
5 Danilo D
17 B. Nuytinck D
53 Ali Adnan M
3 Samir D
23 E. Hallfreðsson M
6 S. Fofana M
10 R. de Paul M
14 J. Jankto M
20 M. López F
18 S. Perica F
Bench (12)
97 G. Pezzella
19 J. Larsen
9 R. Bajić
7 Ryder Matos
13 S. Ingelsson
15 K. Lasagna
22 S. Scuffet
25 D. Borsellini
55 P. Bochniewicz
72 A. Barák
85 V. Behrami
99 A. Balić

Coach: L. Delneri

Juventus

4-2-3-1
1 G. Buffon
26 S. Lichtsteiner D
3 G. Chiellini D
12 Alex Sandro D
24 D. Rugani D
6 S. Khedira M
5 M. Pjanić M
7 J. Cuadrado M
9 G. Higuaín F
17 M. Mandžukić F
10 P. Dybala F
Bench (8)
11 Douglas Costa
15 A. Barzagli
33 F. Bernardeschi
8 C. Marchisio
16 C. Pinsoglio
22 K. Asamoah
23 W. Szczęsny
30 R. Bentancur

Coach: M. Allegri

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Daniele Doveri · 82 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.