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Premier League

Referee: Craig Pawson

Everton

T T S T U

2–5

Full-time

Arsenal

S U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Everton Arsenal

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,7

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 25%

33%

17%

Average goals

2,5

2,3

Scored

0,5

1,3

Conceded

2,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

-1,5

+0,3

This season — Premier League · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 38%

25%

50%

Points per game

1,0

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 44%

38%

50%

Both score Ø 32%

38%

25%

Average goals

2,3

2,8

Scored

0,6

1,5

Conceded

1,6

1,3

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

32% Possession 68%

9 Shots 30

3 Shots on target 14

2 Blocked shots 8

9 Goalkeeper saves 1

0 Corners 7

2 Offside 1

14 Free kicks against 14

3 Yellow cards 1

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Everton 16. · Arsenal 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man City	9	8	1	0	+28	25
2	Man United	9	6	2	1	+18	20
3	Tottenham	8	5	2	1	+10	17
4	Chelsea	9	5	1	3	+7	16
5	Watford	9	4	3	2	-2	15
6	Newcastle	9	4	2	3	+2	14
7	Arsenal	8	4	1	3	+2	13
8	Liverpool	8	3	4	1	+1	13
9	Burnley	9	3	4	2	-1	13
10	Southampton	9	3	3	3	-1	12
11	Huddersfield	9	3	3	3	-3	12
12	Brighton	9	3	2	4	-1	11
13	West Brom	9	2	4	3	-3	10
14	Leicester	9	2	3	4	-2	9
15	Swansea	9	2	2	5	-4	8
16	Everton	8	2	2	4	-8	8
17	West Ham	9	2	2	5	-9	8
18	Stoke	9	2	2	5	-10	8
19	Bournemouth	9	2	1	6	-7	7
20	Crystal Palace	9	1	0	8	-17	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man City	5	4	1	0	+18	13
2	Man United	4	4	0	0	+14	12
3	Arsenal	4	4	0	0	+8	12
4	Newcastle	5	3	1	1	+3	10
5	Liverpool	4	2	2	0	+5	8
6	Southampton	6	2	2	2	-1	8
7	Huddersfield	5	2	2	1	-2	8
8	Chelsea	5	2	1	2	+2	7
9	Brighton	4	2	1	1	+1	7
10	Stoke	5	2	1	2	-3	7
11	West Brom	4	1	3	0	+1	6
12	West Ham	4	2	0	2	-1	6
13	Everton	4	2	0	2	-2	6
14	Tottenham	4	1	2	1	+0	5
15	Burnley	4	1	2	1	+0	5
16	Watford	4	1	2	1	-5	5
17	Leicester	4	1	1	2	+0	4
18	Bournemouth	4	1	1	2	-2	4
19	Swansea	5	1	0	4	-5	3
20	Crystal Palace	4	1	0	3	-5	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Tottenham	4	4	0	0	+10	12
2	Man City	4	4	0	0	+10	12
3	Watford	5	3	1	1	+3	10
4	Chelsea	4	3	0	1	+5	9
5	Man United	5	2	2	1	+4	8
6	Burnley	5	2	2	1	-1	8
7	Swansea	4	1	2	1	+1	5
8	Leicester	5	1	2	2	-2	5
9	Liverpool	4	1	2	1	-4	5
10	Southampton	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	Huddersfield	4	1	1	2	-1	4
12	Newcastle	4	1	1	2	-1	4
13	Brighton	5	1	1	3	-2	4
14	West Brom	5	1	1	3	-4	4
15	Bournemouth	5	1	0	4	-5	3
16	Everton	4	0	2	2	-6	2
17	West Ham	5	0	2	3	-8	2
18	Arsenal	4	0	1	3	-6	1
19	Stoke	4	0	1	3	-7	1
20	Crystal Palace	5	0	0	5	-12	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.