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Championship

Referee: Tim Robinson

Ipswich

S T S T T

0–1

Full-time

Norwich

S U S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ipswich Norwich

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,0

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

67%

17%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,7

1,2

Scored

1,8

0,8

Conceded

1,8

0,3

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,5

This season — Championship · 11/12 matches

Win Ø 49%

55%

42%

Points per game

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 44%

55%

33%

Both score Ø 49%

55%

42%

Average goals

3,4

2,2

Scored

1,8

1,0

Conceded

1,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

52% Possession 48%

16 Shots 10

2 Shots on target 5

2 Blocked shots 0

4 Goalkeeper saves 2

6 Corners 5

3 Offside 2

12 Free kicks against 10

3 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ipswich 11. · Norwich 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Wolves	13	9	2	2	+11	29
2	Cardiff	13	8	3	2	+8	27
3	Sheffield United	13	9	0	4	+7	27
4	Leeds	13	7	2	4	+9	23
5	Bristol City	13	5	6	2	+6	21
6	Preston	13	5	6	2	+6	21
7	Derby	12	5	4	3	+4	19
8	Norwich	12	5	4	3	-2	19
9	Aston Villa	11	5	3	3	+5	18
10	Fulham	12	4	6	2	+4	18
11	Ipswich	11	6	0	5	+3	18
12	Nott'm Forest	13	6	0	7	-4	18
13	Hull	13	4	4	5	+4	16
14	Middlesbrough	12	4	4	4	+3	16
15	Millwall	13	4	4	5	+2	16
16	Sheffield Weds	13	4	4	5	+0	16
17	QPR	13	3	6	4	-1	15
18	Brentford	13	2	7	4	-1	13
19	Barnsley	12	3	3	6	-3	12
20	Reading	12	3	3	6	-3	12
21	Birmingham	13	3	2	8	-13	11
22	Burton Albion	13	2	4	7	-19	10
23	Sunderland	13	1	6	6	-9	9
24	Bolton	13	1	3	9	-17	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sheffield United	7	6	0	1	+7	18
2	Wolves	7	5	1	1	+5	16
3	Cardiff	6	4	2	0	+8	14
4	Derby	6	4	1	1	+8	13
5	Millwall	7	4	1	2	+5	13
6	Preston	6	3	3	0	+5	12
7	Ipswich	6	4	0	2	+4	12
8	Bristol City	7	3	3	1	+4	12
9	Nott'm Forest	7	4	0	3	+0	12
10	Leeds	6	3	2	1	+7	11
11	Sheffield Weds	6	3	2	1	+4	11
12	Aston Villa	5	3	2	0	+4	11
13	QPR	6	3	2	1	+3	11
14	Middlesbrough	7	3	2	2	+2	11
15	Hull	6	3	1	2	+10	10
16	Birmingham	6	3	1	2	-1	10
17	Norwich	6	2	3	1	+1	9
18	Brentford	7	1	5	1	+0	8
19	Barnsley	7	2	2	3	-1	8
20	Fulham	6	1	4	1	+0	7
21	Burton Albion	6	2	1	3	-7	7
22	Reading	5	1	2	2	-1	5
23	Bolton	7	1	1	5	-8	4
24	Sunderland	6	0	2	4	-5	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Wolves	6	4	1	1	+6	13
2	Cardiff	7	4	1	2	+0	13
3	Leeds	7	4	0	3	+2	12
4	Fulham	6	3	2	1	+4	11
5	Norwich	6	3	1	2	-3	10
6	Bristol City	6	2	3	1	+2	9
7	Preston	7	2	3	2	+1	9
8	Sheffield United	6	3	0	3	+0	9
9	Aston Villa	6	2	1	3	+1	7
10	Reading	7	2	1	4	-2	7
11	Sunderland	7	1	4	2	-4	7
12	Ipswich	5	2	0	3	-1	6
13	Nott'm Forest	6	2	0	4	-4	6
14	Derby	6	1	3	2	-4	6
15	Hull	7	1	3	3	-6	6
16	Middlesbrough	5	1	2	2	+1	5
17	Brentford	6	1	2	3	-1	5
18	Sheffield Weds	7	1	2	4	-4	5
19	Barnsley	5	1	1	3	-2	4
20	QPR	7	0	4	3	-4	4
21	Millwall	6	0	3	3	-3	3
22	Burton Albion	7	0	3	4	-12	3
23	Bolton	6	0	2	4	-9	2
24	Birmingham	7	0	1	6	-12	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.