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Eliteserien
Referee: Trygve Kjensli
Sogndal
T T S U T
3–3
Full-time
Sarpsborg 08
S T S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sogndal Sarpsborg 08
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,0
2,8
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
1,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,5
This season — Eliteserien · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 36%
28%
44%
Points per game
1,1
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
56%
56%
Both score Ø 54%
48%
60%
Average goals
2,6
2,7
Scored
1,1
1,5
Conceded
1,4
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–1

40% Possession 60%
17 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 6
4 Offside 3
22 Free kicks against 14
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sogndal 13. · Sarpsborg 08 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rosenborg 25 16 6 3 +34 54
2 Molde 25 13 5 7 +13 44
3 Sarpsborg 08 25 11 10 4 +9 43
4 Brann 25 11 7 7 +16 40
5 Haugesund 25 11 6 8 +3 39
6 Stromsgodset 25 10 8 7 +2 38
7 Odd 25 10 5 10 -7 35
8 Stabaek 25 9 7 9 -6 34
9 Valerenga 25 9 6 10 +0 33
10 Sandefjord 25 10 3 12 -6 33
11 Lillestrom 25 8 7 10 -5 31
12 Kristiansund 26 7 9 10 -5 30
13 Sogndal 25 7 6 12 -8 27
14 Aalesund 26 6 8 12 -9 26
15 Tromso 25 6 7 12 -15 25
16 Viking 25 4 6 15 -16 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sogndal Sarpsborg 08
4′
K. Diatta 0–1
O. Halvorsen
1–1 K. Wæhler
21′
Reiss Greenidge 🟨
24′
2–1 G. Koomson
R. Greenidge
26′
3–1 O. Rindarøy
M. Ramsland
39′
41′
🟨 Krépin Diatta
Half-time 3–2
54′
M. Lund Nielsen 3–2
T. Heintz
Eirik Birkelund 🟨
67′
74′
🔁 J. Lindberg
↦ T. Heintz
Even Hovland 🟨
78′
78′
🔁 J. Tveita
↦ A. Albech
Martin Ramsland 🟨
84′
85′
🔁 K. Hansen
↦ O. Halvorsen
P. Steiring 🔁
↦ R. Greenidge
86′
88′
M. Lund Nielsen 3–3
K. Diatta
S. Mandić 🔁
↦ B. Bye
91′
Full-time 3–3

Line-ups

Sogndal

3-4-3
1 M. Dyngeland G
41 K. Wæhler D
2 T. Teniste D
40 E. Hovland D
14 O. Rindarøy M
16 R. Greenidge D
27 E. Birkelund M
10 G. Koomson F
4 C. Nwakali M
18 B. Bye F
11 M. Ramsland F
Bench (7)
15 P. Steiring
77 S. Mandić
39 M. Fofana
3 B. Utvik
13 T. Omenås
24 E. Skaasheim
31 U. Fredriksen

Coach: E. Bakke

Sarpsborg 08

4-4-2
21 A. Kristiansen
11 J. Jørgensen D
15 S. Rosted D
2 A. Albech D
8 M. Lund Nielsen M
7 O. Halvorsen M
17 K. Zachariassen M
14 T. Heintz M
19 K. Diatta F
77 A. Askar D
69 P. Mortensen F
Bench (7)
10 J. Lindberg
22 J. Tveita
23 K. Hansen
6 N. Poulsen
1 S. Čupić
18 T. Hovda
20 A. Østli

Coach: G. Bakke

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Trygve Kjensli · 72 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.